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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

Falkirk

T S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Rangers

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Falkirk Rangers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

16 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Falkirk 11. · Rangers 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	7	6	1	0	+10	+0.8	19
2	Celtic	6	4	2	0	+7	+2.5	14
3	Kilmarnock	7	2	4	1	+3	-0.1	10
4	Dundee United	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.0	9
5	St Mirren	7	2	3	2	-1	-1.5	9
6	Motherwell	6	1	5	0	+2	+1.8	8
7	Hibernian	7	1	5	1	+0	+1.1	8
8	Rangers	6	1	4	1	-1	-0.9	7
9	Dundee	7	1	3	3	-3	-2.0	6
10	Livingston	8	1	3	4	-4	+0.6	6
11	Falkirk	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.7	5
12	Aberdeen	6	0	1	5	-9	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	3	1	0	+6	-0.1	10
2	Celtic	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.8	7
3	Motherwell	3	1	2	0	+2	+2.0	5
4	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
5	St Mirren	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.2	5
6	Dundee United	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
7	Dundee	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.8	4
8	Hibernian	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.3	3
9	Livingston	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.8	3
10	Falkirk	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.1	2
11	Rangers	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.2	2
12	Aberdeen	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.9	9
2	Celtic	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.7	7
3	Dundee United	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.1	5
4	Kilmarnock	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.3	5
5	Rangers	3	1	2	0	+1	-2.0	5
6	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.8	5
7	St Mirren	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.8	4
8	Motherwell	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.2	3
9	Livingston	5	0	3	2	-4	-0.2	3
10	Falkirk	3	1	0	2	-4	-0.8	3
11	Dundee	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.2	2
12	Aberdeen	3	0	0	3	-6	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.