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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Jagiellonia

U S U U S

3–1

Full-time

Korona Kielce

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,7

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

0,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 53%

56%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

56%

30%

Both score Ø 43%

56%

30%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,13 xG 0,93

69% Possession 31%

18 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 5. · Korona Kielce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	6	1	3	+7	-0.2	19
2	Korona Kielce	10	5	3	2	+7	-2.1	18
3	Cracovia	10	5	3	2	+6	+2.9	18
4	Wisla Plock	10	5	3	2	+5	+6.3	18
5	Jagiellonia	9	5	3	1	+4	-2.5	18
6	Legia	9	4	3	2	+6	+3.6	15
7	Radomiak Radom	11	4	3	4	+1	+0.2	15
8	Lech Poznan	9	4	3	2	+1	+6.0	15
9	Zaglebie	10	3	4	3	+5	-2.1	13
10	Widzew Lodz	11	4	1	6	+2	+3.2	13
11	Pogon Szczecin	11	4	1	6	-4	+6.2	13
12	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	3	5	-7	-3.0	12
13	Arka Gdynia	11	3	3	5	-8	-4.2	12
14	Motor Lublin	9	2	5	2	-3	-1.0	11
15	Rakow	9	3	2	4	-3	-0.3	11
16	Nieciecza	11	2	3	6	-6	-1.2	9
17	GKS Katowice	10	2	2	6	-10	-6.8	8
18	Piast Gliwice	9	1	4	4	-3	-4.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	6	4	1	1	+8	+1.5	13
2	Wisla Plock	6	4	1	1	+5	+5.2	13
3	Korona Kielce	5	4	0	1	+7	+0.0	12
4	Legia	5	3	2	0	+6	+2.3	11
5	Cracovia	5	3	2	0	+4	+2.6	11
6	Arka Gdynia	5	3	2	0	+3	-2.2	11
7	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+4	+1.1	10
8	Zaglebie	5	2	3	0	+8	+1.2	9
9	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	0	2	+3	+1.4	9
10	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	0	2	+2	+4.5	9
11	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.5	9
12	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
13	Lech Poznan	6	2	2	2	-2	+4.2	8
14	GKS Katowice	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.0	7
15	Motor Lublin	4	1	3	0	+1	+0.9	6
16	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.1	5
17	Rakow	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.1	2
18	Nieciecza	5	0	1	4	-7	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	1	1	+4	-1.7	10
2	Jagiellonia	5	2	3	0	+2	–	9
3	Rakow	5	3	0	2	-1	+0.8	9
4	Nieciecza	6	2	2	2	+1	-0.5	8
5	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.8	7
6	Cracovia	5	2	1	2	+2	+0.3	7
7	Korona Kielce	5	1	3	1	+0	-2.2	6
8	Wisla Plock	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.1	5
9	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	-4	-1.9	5
10	Legia	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.2	4
11	Zaglebie	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.3	4
12	Pogon Szczecin	6	1	1	4	-6	+1.6	4
13	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	1	4	-9	-4.2	4
14	Widzew Lodz	5	1	0	4	-2	+2.1	3
15	Piast Gliwice	5	0	2	3	-4	-5.0	2
16	Radomiak Radom	5	0	2	3	-7	-1.3	2
17	GKS Katowice	5	0	1	4	-10	-3.9	1
18	Arka Gdynia	6	0	1	5	-11	-2.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.