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Europa League
Referee: Halil Umut Meler
Sturm Graz
S T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Rangers
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,64 xG 1,87
41% Possession 59%
16 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 10
7 Blocked shots 1
10 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sturm Graz Rangers
1–0 T. Horvat ⚽
M. Malone
7′
2–0 O. Kiteishvili ⚽
T. Horvat
35′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Aarons
↦ J. Meghoma
46′
🔁 B. Miovski
↦ O. Antman
49′
⚽ D. Gassama 2–1
N. Raskin
J. Hodl 🔁
↦ B. Beganovic
59′
Tim Oermann 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 J. Rothwell
↦ C. Barron
J. Mitchell 🔁
↦ T. Oermann
73′
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ M. Malone
73′
L. Grgic 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
73′
75′
🟨 Derek Cornelius
79′
🔁 M. Moore
↦ D. Cornelius
N. Geyrhofer 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
83′
83′
🔁 Danilo Pereira
↦ T. Aasgaard
Emir Karić 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1
1 O. Christensen G
5 T. Oermann D
47 E. Aiwu D
24 D. Lavalee D
17 E. Karic D
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
21 T. Chukwuani M
19 T. Horvat M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
26 B. Beganovic M
77 M. Malone F
Bench (11)
32 C. Wiener-Pucher
40 M. Bignetti
2 J. Mitchell
20 S. Jatta
22 J. Beck
25 S. Hierlander
27 G. Haider
35 N. Geyrhofer
38 L. Grgic
39 L. Weinhandl
43 J. Hodl

Coach: Jürgen Säumel

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
5 J. Souttar D
13 D. Cornelius D
30 J. Meghoma D
43 N. Raskin M
8 C. Barron M
18 O. Antman M
11 T. Aasgaard M
23 D. Gassama M
9 Chermiti F
Bench (12)
31 L. Kelly
32 K. Wright
3 M. Aarons
6 J. Rothwell
16 L. Cameron
24 N. Djiga
28 B. Miovski
47 M. Moore
49 B. Rice
52 F. Curtis
64 A. McCallion
99 Danilo Pereira

Coach: Russell Martin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Halil Umut Meler · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.