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Superligaen
Referee: J Sundberg
FC Copenhagen
U U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
2,4
2,5
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,84 xG 0,44
60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 3. · Midtjylland 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 11 8 2 1 +13 +10.1 26
2 Midtjylland 10 6 3 1 +12 +1.0 21
3 FC Copenhagen 10 6 2 2 +10 +8.2 20
4 Brondby 10 6 0 4 +5 +6.7 18
5 Randers FC 11 5 1 5 -2 +0.3 16
6 Nordsjaelland 11 5 0 6 -3 -2.0 15
7 Sonderjyske 11 3 3 5 -3 -5.2 12
8 Viborg 11 4 0 7 -4 -1.8 12
9 Odense 11 3 3 5 -10 +1.3 12
10 Fredericia 10 3 2 5 -4 -6.0 11
11 Silkeborg 11 3 2 6 -8 -6.2 11
12 Vejle 11 1 4 6 -6 -6.3 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-4-2
1 D. Kotarski G
20 J. Suzuki D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
15 M. Lopez D
11 J. Larsson M
12 L. Lerager M
27 T. Delaney M
16 Robert M
7 V. Claesson F
10 M. Elyounoussi F
Bench (9)
61 O. Buur
4 M. Garananga
9 Y. Moukoko
21 M. Madsen
22 Y. Zague
24 B. Meling
30 E. Achouri
36 W. Clem
39 V. Dadason

Coach: Bo Svensson

Midtjylland

3-4-1-2
1 J. Lossl G
4 O. Diao D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
43 K. Mbabu M
21 D. Castillo M
8 P. Billing M
55 V. Bak M
11 D. Osorio F
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
7 Franculino F
Bench (9)
16 E. Olafsson
6 M. Erlic
13 A. Gabriel
80 Dani Silva
19 P. Bravo
20 V. Byskov
41 M. Gogorza
58 A. Simsir
74 Junior Brumado

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Sundberg · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.