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Europa League
Referee: Matej Jug
Rangers
T U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Genk
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,01 xG 2,94
54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Rangers Genk
James Tavernier ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
36′
Mohammed Diomande 🟥
41′
Half-time 0–0
O. Antman 🔁
↦ M. Moore
46′
50′
ℹ️ Yaimar Medina
VAR: Penalty confirmed
55′
⚽ Oh Hyeon-Gyu 0–1
J. Steuckers
56′
🟨 Hyun-gyu Oh
57′
🟨 Mujaid Sadick
64′
🔁 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
↦ Y. Medina
71′
ℹ️ Hyun-gyu Oh
VAR: Goal cancelled
Djeidi Gassama 🟨
78′
J. Rothwell 🔁
↦ D. Cornelius
79′
C. Barron 🔁
↦ T. Aasgaard
80′
B. Miovski 🔁
↦ Chermiti
80′
80′
🔁 K. Nkuba
↦ J. Steuckers
80′
🔁 J. Erabi
↦ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
81′
🔁 N. Sattlberger
↦ I. Bangoura
91′
🔁 K. Karetsas
↦ P. Hrosovsky
94′
🟨 Zakaria El Ouahdi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
5 J. Souttar D
13 D. Cornelius D
30 J. Meghoma D
43 N. Raskin M
11 T. Aasgaard M
47 M. Moore M
10 M. Diomande M
23 D. Gassama M
9 Chermiti F
Bench (12)
31 L. Kelly
32 K. Wright
6 J. Rothwell
8 C. Barron
18 O. Antman
24 N. Djiga
28 B. Miovski
49 B. Rice
50 J. Gentles
52 F. Curtis
64 A. McCallion
99 Danilo Pereira

Coach: Russell Martin

Genk

4-1-4-1
1 H. Van Crombrugge G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
3 M. Sadick D
6 M. Smets D
18 J. Kayembe D
21 I. Bangoura M
7 J. Steuckers M
17 P. Hrosovsky M
8 B. Heynen M
19 Y. Medina M
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
Bench (12)
28 L. Mounganga
10 J. Ito
20 K. Karetsas
23 A. Bibout
24 N. Sattlberger
27 K. Nkuba
29 R. Mirisola
30 A. Yokoyama
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
34 A. Palacios
44 J. Kongolo
99 J. Erabi

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.