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Premier League
Referee: M Salisbury
Everton
S U T T U
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,03 xG 1,53
50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 10. · Crystal Palace 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 +11 +7.8 16
2 Liverpool 7 5 0 2 +4 +3.1 15
3 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 +8 -1.3 14
4 Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 +3 +2.1 14
5 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 0 +5 +4.6 12
6 Chelsea 7 3 2 2 +4 +1.3 11
7 Sunderland 7 3 2 2 +1 -2.0 11
8 Man City 6 3 1 2 +8 +4.6 10
9 Man United 7 3 1 3 -2 +4.0 10
10 Everton 6 2 2 2 +1 -0.5 8
11 Brighton 6 2 2 2 +0 +1.7 8
12 Fulham 7 2 2 3 -3 -1.9 8
13 Leeds 7 2 2 3 -4 -0.3 8
14 Brentford 6 2 1 3 -2 -1.0 7
15 Newcastle 6 1 3 2 -1 +0.6 6
16 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 -2 -4.4 6
17 Nott'm Forest 6 1 2 3 -5 -2.9 5
18 Burnley 6 1 1 4 -7 -8.0 4
19 West Ham 7 1 1 5 -10 -4.7 4
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 -9 -3.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton Crystal Palace
37′
D. Munoz 0–1
I. Sarr
Half-time 0–1
Beto 🔁
↦ T. Barry
46′
C. Alcaraz 🔁
↦ T. Dibling
46′
T. Iroegbunam 🔁
↦ M. Keane
65′
James Garner 🟨
68′
68′
🟨 Yéremy Pino
70′
🔁 E. Nketiah
↦ J. Mateta
1–1 I. Ndiaye
76′
82′
🟨 Adam Wharton
82′
🔁 J. Lerma
↦ D. Kamada
87′
🟨 Daniel Muñoz
88′
🔁 J. Devenny
↦ Y. Pino
89′
🔁 C. Uche
↦ I. Sarr
2–1 J. Grealish
90′
Iliman Ndiaye 🟨
95′
S. Coleman 🔁
↦ I. Ndiaye
100′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
15 J. O'Brien D
6 J. Tarkowski D
5 M. Keane D
16 V. Mykolenko D
37 J. Garner M
27 I. Gueye M
20 T. Dibling M
10 I. Ndiaye M
18 J. Grealish M
11 T. Barry F
Bench (9)
31 T. King
12 M. Travers
2 N. Patterson
9 Beto
24 C. Alcaraz
39 A. Aznou
23 S. Coleman
7 D. McNeil
42 T. Iroegbunam

Coach: Leighton Baines

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
6 M. Guehi D
2 D. Munoz M
20 A. Wharton M
18 D. Kamada M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
10 Y. Pino F
14 J. Mateta F
Bench (9)
44 W. Benitez
19 W. Hughes
24 B. Sosa
23 J. Canvot
12 C. Uche
8 J. Lerma
9 E. Nketiah
55 J. Devenny
59 R. Cardines

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,53
U
3,21
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.