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Serie B

Referee: Niccolo Turrini

Modena

U S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Virtus Entella

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Virtus Entella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 2. · Virtus Entella 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	7	4	3	0	+6	15
2	Modena	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Frosinone	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Venezia	7	3	3	1	+5	12
5	Avellino	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Cesena	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Monza	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Carrarese	7	2	4	1	+4	10
9	Juve Stabia	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Sudtirol	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Reggiana	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Empoli	7	2	3	2	-3	9
13	Padova	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Catanzaro	7	0	6	1	-1	6
15	Virtus Entella	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Bari	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Pescara	7	1	2	4	-3	5
18	Sampdoria	7	1	2	4	-3	5
19	Mantova	7	1	1	5	-8	4
20	Spezia	7	0	3	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Monza	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Palermo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Frosinone	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Modena	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Avellino	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Empoli	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Pescara	4	1	2	1	+2	5
10	Reggiana	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Carrarese	4	1	2	1	+2	5
12	Virtus Entella	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Padova	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Catanzaro	3	0	3	0	+0	3
18	Mantova	3	1	0	2	-5	3
19	Cesena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Spezia	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	4	3	0	1	+2	9
2	Modena	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Carrarese	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Avellino	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Juve Stabia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Padova	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Sudtirol	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Venezia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Monza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Spezia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Virtus Entella	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Bari	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Pescara	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.