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Super League
Referee: Fotios Polychronis
Panathinaikos
T U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Atromitos
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Super League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 12. · Atromitos 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 6 5 1 0 +6 16
2 PAOK 6 4 2 0 +4 14
3 Olympiakos 6 4 1 1 +9 13
4 Levadeiakos 6 3 1 2 +9 10
5 Aris Thessalonikis 6 3 1 2 -1 10
6 Aris 6 3 1 2 -1 10
7 OFI Crete 6 3 0 3 +0 9
8 Volos NFC 7 3 0 4 -2 9
9 Kifisia 7 2 1 4 -1 7
10 Panetolikos 7 2 1 4 -6 7
11 Panserraikos 7 1 3 3 -7 6
12 Panathinaikos 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Atromitos 6 1 2 3 -1 5
14 Larisa 6 0 4 2 -4 4
15 Asteras Tripolis 6 0 2 4 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Mar -25 Atromitos – Panathinaikos 1–1 1. Dec -24 Panathinaikos – Atromitos 1–1 17. Dec -23 Atromitos – Panathinaikos 3–2 8. Oct -23 Panathinaikos – Atromitos 5–0 12. Mar -23 Atromitos – Panathinaikos 0–2

Match report

Panathinaikos Atromitos
A. Gnezda Cerin 🔁
↦ R. Sanches
38′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Gnezda Cerin ⚽
A. Bakasetas
48′
53′
🔁 G. Papadopoulos
↦ J. Uronen
63′
🔁 T. Tsingaras
↦ A. Karamanis
63′
🔁 O. Ozegovic
↦ P. Tsantilas
74′
🔁 D. Jubitana
↦ P. Michorl
74′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ G. Tzovaras
A. Jeremejeff 🔁
↦ K. Swiderski
80′
M. Siopis 🔁
↦ P. Chirivella
87′
A. Zaroury 🔁
↦ F. Djuricic
88′
Alexander Jeremejeff ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
91′
96′
🟨 Aitor García
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
40 A. Lafont G
2 D. Calabria D
15 S. I. Ingason D
5 A. Touba D
77 G. Kyriakopoulos D
4 P. Chirivella M
8 R. Sanches M
10 Tete M
11 A. Bakasetas M
31 F. Djuricic M
19 K. Swiderski F
Bench (12)
69 B. Dragowski
70 K. Kotsaris
14 E. Palmer-Brown
25 F. Mladenovic
27 G. Kotsiras
6 M. Siopis
9 A. Zaroury
16 A. Gnezda Cerin
20 V. Taborda
39 I. G. Bokos
29 A. Jeremejeff
72 M. Pantovic

Coach: Christos Kontis

Atromitos

4-2-3-1
1 L. Choutetsiotis G
12 M. Mountes D
4 D. Stavropoulos D
70 Mansur D
21 J. Uronen D
92 S. Moutoussamy M
8 P. Michorl M
32 M. Baku M
6 A. Karamanis M
99 G. Tzovaras
19 P. Tsantilas
Bench (12)
55 A. Koselev
30 V. Athanasiou
44 D. Tsakmakis
16 G. Papadopoulos
10 B. Palmezano
33 K. Batos
5 T. Tsingaras
11 D. Jubitana
7 O. Ozegovic
9 T. van Weert
26 A. Garcia
20 S. Ampartzidis

Coach: Leonidas Vokolos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,43
🔒
U
4,19
🔒
B
6,44
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,84
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,86
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.