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Premiership
Referee: D McFarlane
Hibernian
U T T U U
3–3
Full-time
Dundee United
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%
27 Shots 13
12 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hibernian 4. · Dundee United 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 5 4 1 0 +6 +0.8 13
2 Celtic 4 3 1 0 +6 +2.5 10
3 St Mirren 5 1 3 1 +0 -1.5 6
4 Hibernian 3 1 2 0 +1 +1.1 5
5 Motherwell 5 0 5 0 +0 +1.8 5
6 Livingston 5 1 2 2 -2 +0.6 5
7 Dundee United 3 1 1 1 +1 -1.0 4
8 Kilmarnock 4 0 4 0 +0 -0.1 4
9 Falkirk 4 1 1 2 -2 -0.7 4
10 Rangers 5 0 4 1 -2 -0.9 4
11 Dundee 5 0 3 2 -3 -2.0 3
12 Aberdeen 4 0 1 3 -5 -0.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Dundee United
15′
L. Stephenson 0–1
W. Ferry
24′
🟨 Iurie Iovu
0–2 Y. Kucherenko
own goal
27′
44′
Z. Sapsford 0–3
I. Dolcek
Half-time 0–4
47′
L. Stephenson 0–4
A. Fatah
1–4 K. Bowie
50′
Kieron Bowie ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
52′
T. Klidje 🔁
↦ M. Boyle
56′
D. Barlaser 🔁
↦ D. Levitt
56′
J. Hoilett 🔁
↦ C. Cadden
56′
Josh Mulligan 🟨
58′
63′
🟨 Amar Fatah
68′
🟨 Vicko Ševelj
74′
🔁 N. Moller
↦ A. Fatah
74′
🔁 D. Naamo
↦ I. Dolcek
Kieron Bowie ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
84′
84′
🟥 Vicko Ševelj
2–4 J. McGrath
86′
J. Obita 🔁
↦ J. Iredale
88′
J. Campbell 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
88′
89′
🔁 C. Sibbald
↦ I. Iovu
95′
🔁 J. Eskesen
↦ Z. Sapsford
Josh Campbell 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Bert Esselink
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-2-1
13 J. Smith G
5 W. O'Hora D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
12 C. Cadden M
20 J. Mulligan M
6 D. Levitt M
19 N. Cadden M
10 M. Boyle F
17 J. McGrath F
9 K. Bowie F
Bench (9)
1 R. Sallinger
4 G. Hanley
7 T. Youan
18 T. Klidje
21 J. Obita
22 D. Barlaser
23 J. Hoilett
27 K. Megwa
32 J. Campbell

Coach: David Peter Gray

Dundee United

3-4-3
1 Y. Kucherenko G
4 I. Iovu D
3 B. Esselink D
23 K. Keresztes D
21 L. Stephenson M
5 V. Sevelj M
8 P. Camara M
11 W. Ferry M
19 I. Dolcek F
9 Z. Sapsford F
17 A. Fatah F
Bench (9)
25 D. Richards
10 J. Eskesen
14 C. Sibbald
29 M. Thomson
37 S. Cleall-Harding
39 S. Constable
44 C. Beattie
77 N. Moller
22 D. Naamo

Coach: James Michael Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,63
U ✓
3,97
B
4,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D McFarlane · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.