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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Hibernian

U S U S S

2–1

Full-time

Hearts

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 36%

36%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 63%

64%

61%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hibernian 4. · Hearts 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	29	24	3	2	+70	75
2	Rangers	29	18	5	6	+33	59
3	Aberdeen	28	12	5	11	-8	41
4	Hibernian	28	10	10	8	+3	40
5	Dundee United	28	11	7	10	+0	40
6	Motherwell	29	11	4	14	-14	37
7	Hearts	28	10	6	12	+2	36
8	Ross County	29	9	8	12	-18	35
9	St Mirren	29	10	4	15	-12	34
10	Kilmarnock	29	8	7	14	-14	31
11	Dundee	29	7	7	15	-20	28
12	ST Johnstone	29	7	4	18	-22	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	13	1	0	+45	40
2	Rangers	15	12	1	2	+28	37
3	Aberdeen	14	8	2	4	+5	26
4	Hibernian	14	6	5	3	+6	23
5	Kilmarnock	14	6	4	4	+3	22
6	Hearts	14	6	3	5	+3	21
7	Dundee United	14	6	3	5	+3	21
8	Motherwell	14	6	3	5	-4	21
9	Ross County	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	St Mirren	15	5	3	7	-3	18
11	Dundee	15	4	4	7	-5	16
12	ST Johnstone	14	4	1	9	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	11	2	2	+25	35
2	Rangers	14	6	4	4	+5	22
3	Dundee United	14	5	4	5	-3	19
4	Hibernian	14	4	5	5	-3	17
5	St Mirren	14	5	1	8	-9	16
6	Motherwell	15	5	1	9	-10	16
7	Hearts	14	4	3	7	-1	15
8	Aberdeen	14	4	3	7	-13	15
9	Ross County	14	4	3	7	-16	15
10	ST Johnstone	15	3	3	9	-13	12
11	Dundee	14	3	3	8	-15	12
12	Kilmarnock	15	2	3	10	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.