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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Plymouth
S T U S T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plymouth Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 41/38 matches
Win Ø 42%
20%
63%
Points per game
0,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
34%
Both score Ø 43%
51%
34%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,83 xG 0,63
30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Plymouth 24. · Sheffield United 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Burnley 42 24 16 2 +44 +16.0 88
2 Leeds 41 24 13 4 +52 +46.3 85
3 Sheffield United 38 24 6 8 +23 +14.7 78
4 Sunderland 38 21 12 5 +24 +13.7 75
5 Bristol City 39 16 14 9 +10 +3.7 62
6 Middlesbrough 41 17 9 15 +11 +12.3 60
7 Coventry 39 17 7 15 +2 +17.4 58
8 West Brom 41 13 18 10 +11 +11.0 57
9 Millwall 41 15 12 14 -1 +1.1 57
10 Watford 41 16 8 17 -4 -6.2 56
11 Norwich 42 13 14 15 +5 +10.9 53
12 Blackburn 41 15 8 18 -1 -1.7 53
13 Sheffield Weds 41 14 11 16 -7 -2.4 53
14 Swansea 41 14 9 18 -7 -0.8 51
15 QPR 41 12 13 16 -6 -6.1 49
16 Preston 41 10 19 12 -7 -1.8 49
17 Portsmouth 41 12 9 20 -16 -14.4 45
18 Oxford 41 11 12 18 -18 -24.4 45
19 Hull 41 11 11 19 -9 -5.7 44
20 Stoke 41 10 14 17 -12 -15.1 44
21 Derby 41 11 9 21 -10 -7.2 42
22 Cardiff 41 9 15 17 -20 -15.4 42
23 Luton 41 10 10 21 -25 -7.3 40
24 Plymouth 41 8 13 20 -39 -38.7 37

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Plymouth Sheffield United
44′
J. Rak-Sakyi 0–1
G. Hamer
Half-time 0–1
J. Edwards 🔁
↦ N. Ogbeta
46′
64′
🟨 Harry Clarke
M. Tijani 🔁
↦ C. Wright
64′
67′
🔁 B. Brereton
↦ J. Rak-Sakyi
68′
🔁 K. Moore
↦ T. Cannon
68′
🔁 F. Seriki
↦ H. Clarke
80′
🔁 H. Choudhury
↦ Vinicius Souza
1–1 R. Hardie
J. Edwards
81′
84′
🔁 T. Campbell
↦ S. Peck
2–1 M. Tijani
88′
D. Gyabi 🔁
↦ M. Bundu
90′
Julio Pleguezuelo 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Plymouth

3-4-2-1
21 C. Hazard G
6 K. Szűcs D
44 V. Pálsson D
5 Julio Pleguezuelo D
2 B. Mumba M
20 A. Randell M
4 J. Houghton M
3 N. Ogbeta M
9 R. Hardie F
11 C. Wright F
15 M. Bundu F
Bench (9)
8 J. Edwards
26 M. Tijani
18 D. Gyabi
14 M. Obafemi
30 M. Baidoo
17 T. Puchacz
31 D. Grimshaw
19 M. Boateng
35 F. Issaka

Coach: M. Muslić

Sheffield United

4-2-3-1
1 M. Cooper G
18 H. Clarke D
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
19 J. Robinson D
14 H. Burrows D
42 S. Peck M
21 Vinicius Souza M
11 J. Rak-Sakyi M
8 G. Hamer M
10 C. O'Hare M
28 T. Cannon F
Bench (9)
20 B. Brereton
9 K. Moore
38 F. Seriki
24 H. Choudhury
23 T. Campbell
17 A. Davies
3 S. McCallum
5 R. Holding
7 R. Brewster

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
5,40
U
4,00
B
1,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.