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La Liga
Referee: Mateo Busquets
Celta
U S S U S
0–2
Full-time
Espanol
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 30/29 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
28%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
60%
45%
Both score Ø 66%
70%
62%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,91 xG 1,21
65% Possession 35%
16 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 7. · Espanol 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 30 21 4 5 +54 +38.9 67
2 Real Madrid 30 19 6 5 +32 +26.8 63
3 Ath Madrid 30 17 9 4 +25 +20.0 60
4 Ath Bilbao 30 14 12 4 +22 +16.5 54
5 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 +12 +19.6 48
6 Betis 30 13 9 8 +4 +9.2 48
7 Celta 30 12 7 11 +1 +10.2 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 -6 +1.1 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 -4 +0.3 41
10 Vallecano 30 10 10 10 -2 -1.6 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 +3 -5.8 39
12 Valencia 31 9 10 12 -12 -10.1 37
13 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 -8 -9.3 36
14 Osasuna 30 7 14 9 -9 -9.2 35
15 Girona 30 9 7 14 -9 -3.5 34
16 Espanol 29 8 8 13 -9 -20.8 32
17 Alaves 30 7 9 14 -11 -2.7 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 -15 -27.9 29
19 Leganes 30 6 10 14 -18 -24.0 28
20 Valladolid 30 4 4 22 -50 -27.5 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Espanol
Carlos Domínguez 🔁
↦ C. Starfelt
15′
28′
Roberto Fernández 0–1
Javi Puado
44′
🟨 Pol Lozano
Half-time 0–1
I. Moriba 🔁
↦ Hugo Sotelo
46′
46′
🔁 A. Král
↦ Pol Lozano
Javi Rodríguez 🟨
49′
Fer López 🔁
↦ Iago Aspas
62′
Jailson 🔁
↦ Javi Rodríguez
62′
63′
Roberto Fernández 0–2
L. Cabrera
64′
🔁 Jofre Carreras
↦ Antoniu Roca
Jailson 🟨
65′
W. Swedberg 🔁
↦ Sergio Carreira
71′
75′
🔁 Pere Milla
↦ Edu Expósito
77′
🟨 Javi Puado
83′
🔁 W. Cheddira
↦ Javi Puado
83′
🔁 Fernando Calero
↦ Roberto Fernández
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-4-1
13 Vicente Guaita G
32 Javi Rodríguez D
2 C. Starfelt D
20 Marcos Alonso D
3 Óscar Mingueza D
8 Fran Beltrán M
5 Sergio Carreira M
10 Iago Aspas M
4 Hugo Sotelo M
12 Alfon González M
18 Pablo Durán F
Bench (12)
24 Carlos Domínguez
6 I. Moriba
28 Fer López
16 Jailson
19 W. Swedberg
11 F. Cervi
21 M. Ristić
1 Iván Villar
23 Hugo Álvarez
7 Borja Iglesias
25 Damián Rodríguez
14 Iker Losada

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Espanol

4-2-3-1
1 Joan García G
23 O. El Hilali D
4 M. Kumbulla D
6 L. Cabrera D
22 Carlos Romero D
19 Urko González M
10 Pol Lozano M
31 Antoniu Roca M
8 Edu Expósito M
7 Javi Puado M
2 Roberto Fernández F
Bench (12)
20 A. Král
17 Jofre Carreras
11 Pere Milla
16 W. Cheddira
5 Fernando Calero
18 Álvaro Aguado
3 Sergi Gómez
42 Roger Hinojo
9 A. Véliz
13 Fernando Pacheco
33 Ángel Fortuño
12 Álvaro Tejero

Coach: Manolo González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,64
U
3,81
B ✓
5,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mateo Busquets · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.