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Serie B
Referee: A Prontera
Cosenza
U S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Brescia
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 21%
19%
22%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
21 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
12 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cosenza 20. · Brescia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 32 22 6 4 +37 72
2 Pisa 32 18 7 7 +21 61
3 Spezia 32 15 13 4 +24 58
4 Cremonese 32 14 10 8 +16 52
5 Juve Stabia 32 13 10 9 +2 49
6 Catanzaro 32 10 17 5 +8 47
7 Palermo 33 12 9 12 +7 45
8 Bari 33 9 17 7 +4 44
9 Cesena 32 11 10 11 +1 43
10 Modena 32 9 14 9 +2 41
11 Carrarese 32 9 10 13 -9 37
12 Frosinone 32 8 13 11 -11 37
13 Mantova 32 8 12 12 -9 36
14 Cittadella 32 9 9 14 -20 36
15 Sudtirol 32 9 8 15 -10 35
16 Brescia 32 7 13 12 -7 34
17 Reggiana 32 7 11 14 -11 32
18 Sampdoria 32 6 14 12 -12 32
19 Salernitana 32 7 9 16 -14 30
20 Cosenza 32 6 12 14 -19 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Brescia
26′
A. Florenzi 1–0
own goal
38′
🟥 Andrea Cistana
Half-time 1–0
Michael Venturi 🟨
46′
S. Mazzocchi 🔁
↦ J. Cruz
46′
R. Ciervo 🔁
↦ B. Cimino
46′
Aldo Florenzi 🟨
58′
62′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ N. Corrado
T. Fumagalli 🔁
↦ A. Florenzi
67′
71′
🔁 A. Jurič
↦ G. Borrelli
72′
🔁 G. Calvani
↦ M. Besaggio
M. Zilli 🔁
↦ M. Venturi
80′
83′
🟨 Ante Matej Jurić
C. Kouan 🔁
↦ A. Rizzo Pinna
84′
88′
🟨 Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
88′
🔁 N. Galazzi
↦ M. Bertagnoli
88′
🔁 B. Bjarnason
↦ P. Nuamah
Mario Gargiulo 🟨
91′
2–0 M. Zilli
C. Dalle Mura
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cosenza

3-4-1-2
1 A. Micai G
29 F. Sgarbi D
15 C. Dalle Mura D
23 M. Venturi D
2 B. Cimino M
34 A. Florenzi M
5 M. Gargiulo M
31 G. Ricci M
20 A. Rizzo Pinna F
9 G. Artistico F
18 J. Cruz F
Bench (12)
30 S. Mazzocchi
19 R. Ciervo
10 T. Fumagalli
21 M. Zilli
28 C. Kouan
4 P. Martino
55 A. Hristov
12 G. Baldi
22 T. Vettorel
17 A. Caporale
11 T. D'Orazio
6 Charlys

Coach: M. Alvini

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
32 A. Papetti D
28 D. Adorni D
15 A. Cistana D
19 N. Corrado D
24 L. Dickmann M
25 D. Bisoli M
39 M. Besaggio M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
20 P. Nuamah F
29 G. Borrelli F
Bench (12)
18 A. Jallow
7 A. Jurič
5 G. Calvani
23 N. Galazzi
8 B. Bjarnason
12 M. Avella
11 G. Moncini
16 L. D'Andrea
22 L. Andrenacci
14 G. Maucci
33 Z. Muça
9 F. Bianchi

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U ✓
3,15
B
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.