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Allsvenskan
Referee: Aganovic
Elfsborg
S U T U T
2–0
Full-time
Norrkoping
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
5,2
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
7,0
Scored
1,5
3,5
Conceded
2,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,11 xG 1,04
35% Possession 65%
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elfsborg 12. · Norrkoping 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hammarby 2 2 0 0 +6 +3.7 6
2 Degerfors 2 2 0 0 +6 +3.3 6
3 AIK 2 2 0 0 +2 -0.9 6
4 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.4 6
5 Mjallby 3 1 2 0 +3 +0.7 5
6 Oster 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.9 3
7 Norrkoping 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.5 3
8 Sirius 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.2 3
9 Djurgarden 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.2 3
10 Hacken 3 1 0 2 -3 -1.2 3
11 Goteborg 2 1 0 1 -3 -0.4 3
12 Elfsborg 2 0 1 1 -1 +1.1 1
13 GAIS 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.5 1
14 Varnamo 2 0 0 2 -2 +0.8 0
15 Brommapojkarna 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.3 0
16 Halmstad 2 0 0 2 -6 -6.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elfsborg Norrkoping
Sebastian Holmén 🟨
8′
1–0 T. Silverholt
S. Hedlund
33′
Half-time 1–0
F. Ihler 🔁
↦ A. Sigurpalsson
69′
70′
🔁 A. Sogaard
↦ M. Neffati
70′
🔁 I. Sigurgeirsson
↦ A. Bronner
P. Frick 🔁
↦ G. Rapp
80′
L. Richtner 🔁
↦ T. Silverholt
80′
80′
🔁 A. Fransson
↦ Y. Kalley
81′
🔁 T. Prica
↦ D. Karlsson
Rasmus Wikström 🟨
82′
89′
🔁 M. Baggesen
↦ M. Watson
2–0 F. Ihler
N. Hult
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pettersson G
6 R. Wikstrom D
8 S. Holmen D
2 T. Yegbe D
23 N. Hult D
10 S. Olsson M
27 B. Zeneli M
15 S. Hedlund M
25 A. Sigurpalsson M
20 G. Rapp M
11 T. Silverholt F
Bench (9)
30 L. Hagg
4 D. Granli
16 A. Hellemaa
17 P. Frick
19 R. Kaib
24 F. Ihler
26 L. Richtner
28 F. Aronsson
29 I. Buhari

Coach: Oscar Karl Niclas Hiljemark

Norrkoping

4-3-3
40 D. Andersson G
37 M. Neffati D
19 M. Watson D
2 K. Peprah D
14 Y. Kalley D
20 A. Bronner M
9 A. Traustason M
21 J. Ceesay M
15 S. Jorgensen F
5 C. Nyman F
10 D. Karlsson F
Bench (9)
30 T. Krantz
3 M. Baggesen
4 A. Sogaard
8 I. Sigurgeirsson
18 J. Arnarsson
22 T. Prica
24 A. Eriksson
28 A. Andersson
7 A. Fransson

Coach: Martin Falk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.