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Pro League

Referee: B Put

St Truiden

U U T S T

3–1

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 23%

19%

27%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

65%

46%

Both score Ø 58%

69%

46%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

2,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,70 xG 0,66

44% Possession 56%

15 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 14. · Cercle Brugge 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	22	17	3	2	+23	+21.7	54
2	Club Brugge	22	15	5	2	+29	+26.2	50
3	St. Gilloise	22	13	6	3	+25	+24.0	45
4	Anderlecht	22	12	5	5	+22	+6.4	41
5	Antwerp	21	10	8	3	+16	-1.2	38
6	Gent	22	8	8	6	+7	-4.0	32
7	Cercle Brugge	26	7	9	10	-15	-2.3	30
8	Charleroi	22	7	8	7	+0	+2.4	29
9	Dender	22	7	7	8	-7	-11.9	28
10	Standard	22	7	6	9	-13	-8.3	27
11	Mechelen	22	6	6	10	-2	+0.7	24
12	Westerlo	23	6	6	11	-3	-0.3	24
13	Kortrijk	27	7	3	17	-23	-15.0	24
14	St Truiden	26	5	7	14	-24	-8.6	22
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	22	3	11	8	-7	-3.9	20
16	Beerschot VA	27	2	8	17	-28	-25.7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	11	10	1	0	+19	+16.1	31
2	St. Gilloise	11	9	0	2	+17	+18.5	27
3	Club Brugge	11	8	2	1	+20	+18.1	26
4	Anderlecht	11	6	3	2	+13	+3.6	21
5	Antwerp	10	6	2	2	+15	+4.2	20
6	Gent	11	6	2	3	+11	+1.8	20
7	Cercle Brugge	13	5	5	3	-2	+3.7	20
8	Charleroi	11	5	3	3	+4	+5.0	18
9	Standard	11	5	3	3	+1	-1.6	18
10	Mechelen	11	4	4	3	+7	+4.4	16
11	Westerlo	12	4	4	4	+6	+10.7	16
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	7	1	+4	+2.9	16
13	Kortrijk	14	5	1	8	-6	-2.1	16
14	St Truiden	13	3	6	4	-5	-0.2	15
15	Dender	11	3	4	4	+0	-2.4	13
16	Beerschot VA	13	2	6	5	-6	-10.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	7	3	1	+9	+8.1	24
2	Genk	11	7	2	2	+4	+5.7	23
3	Anderlecht	11	6	2	3	+9	+2.8	20
4	St. Gilloise	11	4	6	1	+8	+5.5	18
5	Antwerp	11	4	6	1	+1	-5.4	18
6	Dender	11	4	3	4	-7	-9.5	15
7	Gent	11	2	6	3	-4	-5.8	12
8	Charleroi	11	2	5	4	-4	-2.6	11
9	Cercle Brugge	13	2	4	7	-13	-5.9	10
10	Standard	11	2	3	6	-14	-6.7	9
11	Westerlo	11	2	2	7	-9	-11.0	8
12	Mechelen	11	2	2	7	-9	-3.7	8
13	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-17	-12.9	8
14	St Truiden	13	2	1	10	-19	-8.4	7
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	0	4	7	-11	-6.9	4
16	Beerschot VA	14	0	2	12	-22	-15.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.