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Bundesliga
Referee: C Ciochirca
Tirol
T T T U T
5–3
Full-time
A. Klagenfurt
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol A. Klagenfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%
17 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 10. · A. Klagenfurt 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 24 15 5 4 +25 50
2 Austria Vienna 24 15 5 4 +19 50
3 Salzburg 24 12 8 4 +14 44
4 Wolfsberger AC 25 12 5 8 +15 41
5 LASK 24 11 4 9 +2 37
6 SK Rapid 24 9 7 8 +4 34
7 BW Linz 25 10 3 12 -3 33
8 Hartberg 24 7 8 9 -6 29
9 A. Klagenfurt 24 6 6 12 -22 24
10 Tirol 24 4 8 12 -13 20
11 Altach 24 4 7 13 -16 19
12 Grazer AK 24 3 8 13 -19 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol A. Klagenfurt
David Jaunegg ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
8′
1–0 V. Müller ⚽
B. Blume
22′
2–0 S. Škrbo ⚽
26′
38′
🟨 Jannik Thomas Robatsch
Half-time 2–0
M. Diarra 🔁
↦ L. Hinterseer
46′
46′
🔁 M. Kitz
↦ K. Gkezos
47′
🟨 Thorsten Mahrer
3–0 M. Diarra ⚽
J. David
48′
55′
⚽ C. Wernitznig 3–1
4–1 S. Škrbo ⚽
Q. Butler
58′
Quincy Butler 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 F. Jaritz
↦ J. Kühn
62′
🔁 S. Bonnah
↦ S. Straudi
65′
🔁 N. Binder
↦ D. Toshevski
65′
🔁 P. Wydra
↦ T. Koch
5–1 J. Naschberger ⚽
B. Blume
69′
F. Rieder 🔁
↦ S. Škrbo
75′
A. Ranacher 🔁
↦ Q. Butler
75′
C. Üstündag 🔁
↦ J. Naschberger
86′
T. Geris 🔁
↦ B. Blume
89′
89′
⚽ N. Binder 5–2
C. Cvetko
Alexander Ranacher 🟨
91′
93′
⚽ C. Wernitznig 5–3
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Tirol

3-4-2-1
40 A. Stejskal G
27 D. Jaunegg D
24 J. David D
22 O. Okungbowa D
7 Q. Butler M
17 J. Naschberger M
4 V. Müller M
25 L. Czyborra M
10 B. Blume F
23 S. Škrbo F
16 L. Hinterseer F
Bench (7)
8 M. Diarra
33 F. Rieder
14 A. Ranacher
20 C. Üstündag
28 T. Geris
19 C. Huetz
1 P. Schermer

Coach: P. Semlic

A. Klagenfurt

3-1-4-2
30 S. Spari G
8 K. Gkezos D
31 T. Mahrer D
34 J. Robatsch D
6 T. Koch M
17 S. Straudi M
24 C. Wernitznig M
14 C. Cvetko M
27 J. Kühn M
10 D. Toshevski F
11 K. Bennetts F
Bench (7)
35 M. Kitz
7 F. Jaritz
2 S. Bonnah
9 N. Binder
95 P. Wydra
1 M. Knaller
19 N. Szerencsi

Coach: P. Pacult

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

C Ciochirca · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.