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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
Cracovia
S T T S U
2–4
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
41%
15%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 69%
78%
59%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,30 xG 2,88
50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 9
7 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 6. · Slask Wroclaw 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Rakow 27 16 8 3 +23 +11.1 56
2 Lech Poznan 27 17 2 8 +26 +9.1 53
3 Jagiellonia 27 15 7 5 +16 +3.7 52
4 Pogon Szczecin 27 14 5 8 +17 +12.2 47
5 Legia 27 12 8 7 +14 +9.6 44
6 Cracovia 27 11 9 7 +7 -3.8 42
7 Gornik Zabrze 28 12 4 12 +4 +5.1 40
8 Motor Lublin 27 11 7 9 -6 +0.1 40
9 GKS Katowice 28 11 6 11 +1 +1.7 39
10 Widzew Lodz 28 10 6 12 -8 -5.9 36
11 Korona Kielce 28 9 9 10 -10 +0.6 36
12 Piast Gliwice 27 8 10 9 -2 -3.6 34
13 Radomiak Radom 27 10 4 13 -4 -0.0 34
14 Zaglebie 28 8 5 15 -17 -7.1 29
15 Puszcza 28 6 8 14 -15 -15.2 26
16 Stal Mielec 27 6 6 15 -15 +0.3 24
17 Lechia Gdansk 27 6 6 15 -19 -16.5 24
18 Slask Wroclaw 27 4 10 13 -12 -1.3 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Slask Wroclaw
28′
M. Żukowski 0–1
José Pozo
Half-time 0–1
P. Sokołowski 🔁
↦ D. Ólafsson
46′
49′
Y. Matsenko 0–2
0–3 A. Petkov
own goal
50′
58′
José Pozo 0–4
Marc Llinares
M. Minchev 🔁
↦ Amir Al Ammari
60′
66′
🔁 H. Udahl
↦ Assad Al Hamlawi
P. Janasik 🔁
↦ O. Kakabadze
69′
74′
🔁 P. Samiec-Talar
↦ M. Żukowski
1–4 B. Källman
79′
85′
🔁 T. Guercio
↦ Y. Matsenko
85′
🔁 B. Ince
↦ J. Jezierski
85′
🔁 T. Băluță
↦ José Pozo
Patryk Sokołowski 🟨
88′
Martin Minchev 🟨
90′
M. Perković 🔁
↦ F. Rózga
91′
93′
B. Ince 1–5
94′
ℹ️ Burak Ince
VAR: Goal confirmed
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
13 S. Madejski G
24 J. Jugas D
4 G. Henriksson D
5 V. Ghiță D
25 O. Kakabadze M
6 Amir Al Ammari M
11 M. Maigaard M
18 F. Rózga
14 A. Hasić F
9 B. Källman F
19 D. Ólafsson F
Bench (9)
88 P. Sokołowski
10 M. Minchev
77 P. Janasik
39 M. Perković
23 F. Bzdyl
66 O. Wójcik
27 H. Ravas
3 A. Skovgaard
7 M. van Buren

Coach: D. Kroczek

Slask Wroclaw

4-2-3-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
33 Y. Matsenko D
3 S. Szota D
5 A. Petkov D
28 Marc Llinares D
29 J. Jezierski M
17 P. Schwarz M
22 M. Żukowski M
8 José Pozo M
19 Arnau Ortiz M
9 Assad Al Hamlawi F
Bench (9)
25 H. Udahl
7 P. Samiec-Talar
78 T. Guercio
26 B. Ince
21 T. Băluță
1 T. Loska
23 S. Jasper
13 K. Kurowski
6 Ł. Gerstenstein

Coach: A. Šimundža

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Kuźma · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.