Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Ørn Horten
Arendal
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match report
Ørn Horten
Arendal
Half-time 1–0
1–0 O. Opthun
⚽
⚽
M. Ramsland
1–1
🟥
A. Osterud
2–1 S. Nilsen
⚽
⚽
J. Johansen
2–2
❌
penalty missed
⚽
H. Suggelia
2–3
3–3 D. Hamde
⚽
❌
penalty missed
4–3 E. Skulstad-Hansen
⚽
⚽
S. Nygaard
4–4
5–4 A. Forsund
⚽
❌
penalty missed
Full-time 5–4
Line-ups
Ørn Horten
Coach: Ø. Garborg
Arendal
Coach: V. Hansen
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.