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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kooij

NAC Breda

T U U U T

1–1

Full-time

Go Ahead Eagles

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 38%

29%

46%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

54%

68%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,87 xG 1,11

50% Possession 50%

22 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 15. · Go Ahead Eagles 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	28	22	4	2	+39	+26.9	70
2	PSV Eindhoven	29	20	4	5	+53	+39.1	64
3	Feyenoord	29	17	8	4	+32	+24.2	59
4	Utrecht	28	15	8	5	+9	+2.3	53
5	Go Ahead Eagles	28	13	6	9	+6	+11.2	45
6	Twente	26	12	8	6	+13	+14.8	44
7	AZ Alkmaar	26	11	7	8	+6	+11.1	40
8	Sparta Rotterdam	29	8	10	11	-3	+2.0	34
9	Heerenveen	28	9	7	12	-8	-2.4	34
10	Nijmegen	28	9	6	13	+1	+1.4	33
11	For Sittard	29	9	6	14	-16	-7.4	33
12	Heracles	28	7	11	10	-13	-14.8	32
13	Groningen	28	8	8	12	-14	-9.7	32
14	Zwolle	28	7	9	12	-9	-22.3	30
15	NAC Breda	28	8	6	14	-18	-16.0	30
16	Willem II	28	6	6	16	-18	-23.3	24
17	Waalwijk	29	4	7	18	-23	-19.3	19
18	Almere City	29	4	7	18	-37	-17.8	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	14	12	2	0	+25	+19.6	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+34	+25.0	36
3	Go Ahead Eagles	15	9	4	2	+12	+13.8	31
4	Feyenoord	14	9	3	2	+15	+15.1	30
5	Twente	13	8	4	1	+14	+13.2	28
6	Heerenveen	14	7	6	1	+11	+7.4	27
7	Groningen	14	6	5	3	+5	+1.9	23
8	Utrecht	14	7	2	5	-2	+6.0	23
9	Heracles	14	5	7	2	+5	+3.5	22
10	NAC Breda	14	6	4	4	+1	-0.2	22
11	Nijmegen	15	5	5	5	+9	+6.6	20
12	Zwolle	14	6	2	6	+2	-5.2	20
13	Sparta Rotterdam	15	4	6	5	+0	+4.8	18
14	For Sittard	14	6	0	8	-9	+0.5	18
15	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	2	5	+1	+9.6	17
16	Willem II	14	3	3	8	-4	-8.7	12
17	Waalwijk	14	3	3	8	-6	-5.7	12
18	Almere City	14	2	3	9	-20	-2.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	14	10	2	2	+14	+7.3	32
2	Utrecht	14	8	6	0	+11	-3.7	30
3	Feyenoord	15	8	5	2	+17	+9.1	29
4	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	1	4	+19	+14.1	28
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	5	3	+5	+1.5	23
6	Twente	13	4	4	5	-1	+1.6	16
7	Sparta Rotterdam	14	4	4	6	-3	-2.8	16
8	For Sittard	15	3	6	6	-7	-7.9	15
9	Go Ahead Eagles	13	4	2	7	-6	-2.6	14
10	Nijmegen	13	4	1	8	-8	-5.2	13
11	Willem II	14	3	3	8	-14	-14.6	12
12	Zwolle	14	1	7	6	-11	-17.1	10
13	Almere City	15	2	4	9	-17	-15.8	10
14	Heracles	14	2	4	8	-18	-18.4	10
15	Groningen	14	2	3	9	-19	-11.5	9
16	NAC Breda	14	2	2	10	-19	-15.9	8
17	Waalwijk	15	1	4	10	-17	-13.6	7
18	Heerenveen	14	2	1	11	-19	-9.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.