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NM-cupen
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alta 1 1 0 0 +11 3
2 Bodo/Glimt 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Asane 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Raufoss 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Mjondalen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Jerv 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Os 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Start 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Elverum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Lysekloster 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Ham-Kam 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Torvastad 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Sotra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Kjelsås 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Bærum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Grorud 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Nordstrand 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Ull/Kisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Ørn Horten 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Arendal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Djerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Oppsal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Fana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Våg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Lillehammer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 Vard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
30 Åssiden IF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
31 Vindbjart 1 0 0 1 -3 0
32 Askøy 1 0 0 1 -4 0
33 Innstranden 1 0 0 1 -8 0
34 Bjørnevatn 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.