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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

St Mirren

U S T T U

5–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

70%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%

9 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 8. · Kilmarnock 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	30	24	3	3	+69	75
2	Rangers	30	19	5	6	+34	62
3	Hibernian	30	11	11	8	+4	44
4	Aberdeen	30	12	7	11	-8	43
5	Dundee United	30	11	8	11	-2	41
6	Hearts	30	11	6	13	+3	39
7	Motherwell	30	11	5	14	-14	38
8	St Mirren	30	10	5	15	-12	35
9	Ross County	30	9	8	13	-20	35
10	Kilmarnock	30	8	8	14	-14	32
11	Dundee	30	8	7	15	-18	31
12	ST Johnstone	30	7	5	18	-22	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	13	1	1	+44	40
2	Rangers	15	12	1	2	+28	37
3	Aberdeen	15	8	3	4	+5	27
4	Hibernian	15	7	5	3	+7	26
5	Hearts	15	7	3	5	+5	24
6	Kilmarnock	15	6	5	4	+3	23
7	Motherwell	15	6	4	5	-4	22
8	Dundee United	15	6	3	6	+1	21
9	Ross County	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	St Mirren	15	5	3	7	-3	18
11	Dundee	15	4	4	7	-5	16
12	ST Johnstone	15	4	2	9	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	11	2	2	+25	35
2	Rangers	15	7	4	4	+6	25
3	Dundee United	15	5	5	5	-3	20
4	Hibernian	15	4	6	5	-3	18
5	St Mirren	15	5	2	8	-9	17
6	Motherwell	15	5	1	9	-10	16
7	Aberdeen	15	4	4	7	-13	16
8	Hearts	15	4	3	8	-2	15
9	Dundee	15	4	3	8	-13	15
10	Ross County	15	4	3	8	-18	15
11	ST Johnstone	15	3	3	9	-13	12
12	Kilmarnock	15	2	3	10	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.