← Match Finder
Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Kilmarnock
T T U T U
1–0
Full-time
Hearts
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Kilmarnock Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 19%
19%
19%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
63%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

25% Possession 75%
7 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · Hearts 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 14 1 0 +40 43
2 Aberdeen 16 10 4 2 +12 34
3 Rangers 15 10 2 3 +18 32
4 Motherwell 16 8 1 7 -4 25
5 Dundee United 16 6 6 4 +6 24
6 St Mirren 17 6 3 8 -6 21
7 Dundee 16 5 4 7 -2 19
8 Hibernian 17 3 6 8 -8 15
9 Ross County 17 3 6 8 -20 15
10 ST Johnstone 17 4 2 11 -12 14
11 Kilmarnock 16 3 5 8 -17 14
12 Hearts 16 3 4 9 -7 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Oct -24 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–2 27. Apr -24 Kilmarnock – Hearts 0–0 30. Mar -24 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–1 2. Dec -23 Kilmarnock – Hearts 0–1 13. Aug -23 Hearts – Kilmarnock 0–0

Match report

Kilmarnock Hearts
Robbie Deas 🟥
6′
Robbie Deas ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
6′
D. Watson 🔁
↦ B. Wales
11′
16′
🟨 James Penrice
1–0 B. Anderson ⚽
18′
Half-time 1–0
K. O'Hara 🔁
↦ R. McCrorie
46′
L. Donnelly 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
46′
46′
🔁 J. Grant
↦ M. Boateng
46′
🔁 Y. Dhanda
↦ A. Forrest
52′
🟨 Kye Rowles
53′
🔁 L. Boyce
↦ B. Spittal
53′
🔁 J. Wilson
↦ K. Vargas
I. Cameron 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
71′
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ L. Donnelly
84′
Fraser Murray 🟨
85′
87′
🔁 A. Forrester
↦ D. Oyegoke
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-4-1-2
20 R. McCrorie G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
3 C. Ndaba D
4 J. Wright M
15 F. Murray M
31 L. Polworth M
24 B. Wales M
8 B. Lyons F
23 M. Watkins F
19 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
12 D. Watson
1 K. O'Hara
22 L. Donnelly
18 I. Cameron
7 R. McKenzie
37 C. Burke
14 G. Mackay-Steven
2 J. Burroughs
11 D. Armstrong

Coach: D. McInnes

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
5 D. Oyegoke D
4 C. Halkett D
15 K. Rowles D
29 J. Penrice D
14 C. Devlin M
18 M. Boateng M
77 K. Vargas M
16 B. Spittal M
17 A. Forrest M
37 M. Drammeh F
Bench (9)
7 J. Grant
20 Y. Dhanda
27 L. Boyce
21 J. Wilson
35 A. Forrester
28 Z. Clark
25 M. Tait
80 A. Salazar
11 Y. Oda

Coach: N. Critchley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,74
🔒
U
3,37
🔒
B
2,48
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,97
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,82
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.