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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hearts
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
14%
77%
Points per game
0,6
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
57%
77%
Both score Ø 71%
64%
77%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,1
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 12. · Aberdeen 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 13 12 1 0 +36 37
2 Aberdeen 13 10 2 1 +13 32
3 Rangers 13 8 2 3 +9 26
4 Dundee United 14 6 5 3 +7 23
5 Motherwell 13 6 1 6 -3 19
6 St Mirren 15 5 3 7 -6 18
7 Dundee 14 4 4 6 -3 16
8 Ross County 15 3 6 6 -15 15
9 ST Johnstone 15 4 1 10 -11 13
10 Kilmarnock 14 3 4 7 -11 13
11 Hibernian 15 2 6 7 -7 12
12 Hearts 14 2 3 9 -9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Oct -24 Aberdeen – Hearts 3–2 27. Jan -24 Hearts – Aberdeen 2–0 9. Dec -23 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–1 16. Sep -23 Hearts – Aberdeen 2–0 20. May -23 Hearts – Aberdeen 2–1

Match report

Hearts Aberdeen
C. Halkett 🔁
↦ S. Kingsley
30′
A. Forrester 🔁
↦ F. Kent
35′
37′
⚽ L. Clarkson 0–1
S. Morris
Craig Halkett 🟨
42′
45′
🟨 Gavin Molloy
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 R. Doohan
↦ D. Mitov
51′
🟨 James McGarry
52′
🟨 Sivert Heltne Nilsen
59′
🔁 J. Milne
↦ J. McGarry
59′
🔁 G. Shinnie
↦ A. Palaversa
0–2 N. Devlin ⚽
own goal
62′
72′
🟨 Graeme Shinnie
75′
🔁 Duk
↦ E. Sokler
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ M. Drammeh
80′
J. Grant 🔁
↦ A. Forrest
80′
80′
🔁 T. Keskinen
↦ S. Morris
86′
🟨 Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
5 D. Oyegoke D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
3 S. Kingsley D
14 C. Devlin M
6 B. Baningime M
37 M. Drammeh M
16 B. Spittal M
17 A. Forrest M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
4 C. Halkett
35 A. Forrester
77 K. Vargas
7 J. Grant
21 J. Wilson
28 Z. Clark
27 L. Boyce
20 Y. Dhanda
18 M. Boateng

Coach: N. Critchley

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
2 N. Devlin D
27 A. MacDonald D
21 G. Molloy D
15 J. McGarry D
18 A. Palaversa M
6 S. Heltne Nilsen M
20 S. Morris M
10 L. Clarkson M
7 J. McGrath M
19 E. Sokler F
Bench (9)
31 R. Doohan
22 J. Milne
4 G. Shinnie
11 Duk
81 T. Keskinen
9 K. Nisbet
17 V. Besuijen
33 S. Rubežić
8 D. Polvara

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
🔒
U ✓
3,42
🔒
B
2,84
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,77
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,02
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.