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Super League

Referee: N Gianforte

Lugano

S S T S S

1–4

Full-time

Lausanne

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 50%

53%

47%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

59%

53%

Both score Ø 56%

71%

41%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,57 xG 3,04

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 1. · Lausanne 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	17	9	4	4	+9	+2.5	31
2	Basel	18	9	3	6	+21	+13.3	30
3	Luzern	18	8	5	5	+3	+1.8	29
4	Servette	18	8	5	5	+2	-2.0	29
5	Lausanne	17	8	3	6	+6	+9.4	27
6	Zurich	17	7	6	4	+1	-2.8	27
7	Sion	18	7	5	6	+4	+6.5	26
8	Young Boys	18	6	5	7	-4	+3.5	23
9	St. Gallen	17	5	7	5	+4	-5.0	22
10	Yverdon	18	4	5	9	-12	-11.0	17
11	Grasshoppers	18	3	6	9	-10	-2.6	15
12	Winterthur	18	3	4	11	-24	-13.4	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lausanne	9	7	0	2	+11	+8.6	21
2	Lugano	8	6	1	1	+10	+5.5	19
3	Servette	9	5	3	1	+4	+1.8	18
4	Young Boys	9	5	2	2	+4	+0.1	17
5	Sion	9	4	4	1	+8	+9.8	16
6	Basel	9	5	1	3	+7	+11.1	16
7	St. Gallen	9	3	5	1	+7	+0.4	14
8	Luzern	9	4	2	3	+2	+5.1	14
9	Zurich	8	3	4	1	+3	-2.3	13
10	Yverdon	9	3	1	5	-6	-2.8	10
11	Winterthur	9	3	1	5	-9	-3.2	10
12	Grasshoppers	9	1	5	3	-3	+3.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	9	4	3	2	+1	-3.3	15
2	Basel	9	4	2	3	+14	+2.1	14
3	Zurich	9	4	2	3	-2	-0.4	14
4	Lugano	9	3	3	3	-1	-3.1	12
5	Servette	9	3	2	4	-2	-3.8	11
6	Sion	9	3	1	5	-4	-3.3	10
7	St. Gallen	8	2	2	4	-3	-5.5	8
8	Yverdon	9	1	4	4	-6	-8.3	7
9	Grasshoppers	9	2	1	6	-7	-6.0	7
10	Lausanne	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.8	6
11	Young Boys	9	1	3	5	-8	+3.4	6
12	Winterthur	9	0	3	6	-15	-10.2	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.