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Serie B
Referee: D Ghersini
Salernitana
U T T S U
1–2
Full-time
Juve Stabia
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
31%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 17. · Juve Stabia 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 17 12 4 1 +24 40
2 Pisa 17 10 5 2 +13 35
3 Spezia 17 9 7 1 +17 34
4 Cremonese 17 7 4 6 +4 25
5 Cesena 17 7 4 6 +3 25
6 Bari 17 5 9 3 +4 24
7 Catanzaro 17 4 11 2 +4 23
8 Juve Stabia 16 5 7 4 -2 22
9 Palermo 17 5 6 6 +2 21
10 Modena 17 4 8 5 +0 20
11 Cosenza 17 4 8 5 -2 20
12 Brescia 17 5 5 7 -3 20
13 Carrarese 17 5 5 7 -5 20
14 Mantova 17 4 7 6 -4 19
15 Reggiana 17 4 6 7 -3 18
16 Sampdoria 17 4 6 7 -6 18
17 Salernitana 16 4 5 7 -6 17
18 Frosinone 17 3 7 7 -10 16
19 Cittadella 17 3 6 8 -16 15
20 Sudtirol 17 4 2 11 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salernitana Juve Stabia
7′
A. Adorante 0–1
18′
🟨 Andrea Adorante
Dylan Bronn 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 L. Amatucci
S. Nwankwo
46′
A. Hrustić 🔁
↦ G. Maggiore
63′
66′
🟨 Davide Buglio
71′
🔁 Y. Rocchetti
↦ N. Fortini
73′
L. Candellone 1–2
A. Adorante
F. Tongya 🔁
↦ R. Soriano
75′
S. Włodarczyk 🔁
↦ S. Nwankwo
75′
G. Fusco 🔁
↦ P. Jaroszyński
84′
T. Velthuis 🔁
↦ P. Stojanović
84′
84′
🔁 M. Meli
↦ D. Buglio
84′
🔁 G. Artistico
↦ A. Adorante
91′
🔁 K. Piscopo
↦ L. Candellone
92′
🔁 M. Baldi
↦ G. Leone
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Salernitana

3-4-2-1
55 L. Sepe G
15 D. Bronn D
33 G. Ferrari D
44 P. Jaroszyński D
30 P. Stojanović M
25 G. Maggiore M
73 L. Amatucci M
29 P. Ghiglione M
31 D. Verde F
21 R. Soriano F
9 S. Nwankwo F
Bench (12)
8 A. Hrustić
7 F. Tongya
20 S. Włodarczyk
43 G. Fusco
4 T. Velthuis
13 F. Ruggeri
2 D. Gentile
1 V. Fiorillo
12 F. Corriere
77 A. Sfait
11 Y. Kallon
24 J. Braaf

Coach: S. Colantuono

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
24 M. Varnier D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
8 D. Buglio M
55 G. Leone M
29 N. Fortini M
10 C. Pierobon F
27 L. Candellone F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (11)
3 Y. Rocchetti
14 M. Meli
90 G. Artistico
13 M. Baldi
11 K. Piscopo
99 E. Piovanello
16 A. Signorini
1 K. Matošević
5 T. Di Marco
25 A. Gerbo
7 F. Zuccon

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,32
U
3,11
B ✓
3,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.