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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
Antalyaspor
S T S S U
2–0
Full-time
Kayserispor
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
36%
21%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,06 xG 0,81
51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 9
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 13. · Kayserispor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 14 12 2 0 +23 +14.9 38
2 Fenerbahce 14 10 2 2 +23 +17.1 32
3 Samsunspor 15 9 2 4 +12 +8.6 29
4 Eyüpspor 16 7 5 4 +7 -2.8 26
5 Besiktas 14 7 4 3 +8 +6.8 25
6 Goztep 15 7 4 4 +7 +5.1 25
7 Buyuksehyr 14 6 4 4 +6 +4.4 22
8 Konyaspor 16 5 5 6 -5 -5.4 20
9 Rizespor 15 6 2 7 -6 +2.8 20
10 Kasimpasa 15 4 7 4 -1 +0.5 19
11 Gaziantep 15 5 3 7 -4 -4.3 18
12 Sivasspor 16 5 3 8 -7 -12.1 18
13 Antalyaspor 14 5 3 6 -8 -8.8 18
14 Alanyaspor 15 4 5 6 -3 +1.2 17
15 Trabzonspor 14 3 7 4 +2 +0.4 16
16 Kayserispor 14 3 6 5 -10 -6.6 15
17 Bodrumspor 15 4 2 9 -9 -5.8 14
18 Hatayspor 15 1 6 8 -11 -8.0 9
19 Ad. Demirspor 14 0 2 12 -24 -7.9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Kayserispor
34′
🟨 Baran Ali Gezek
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. van de Streek
K. Pirić
46′
59′
🟨 Mehdi Bourabia
B. Samudio 🔁
↦ A. Gaich
64′
64′
🔁 D. Nazon
↦ B. Gezek
71′
🔁 Y. Ackah
↦ S. Bahoken
71′
🔁 R. Civelek
↦ H. Kaldırım
2–0 S. Dikmen
E. Yeşilyurt
74′
R. Safouri 🔁
↦ S. van de Streek
76′
77′
🟨 Gökhan Sazdağı
A. Dursun 🔁
↦ E. Yeşilyurt
84′
A. Townsend 🔁
↦ S. Larsson
84′
E. Rakip 🔁
↦ S. Dikmen
84′
87′
🔁 T. Sarıarslan
↦ M. Bourabia
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
13 K. Pirić G
27 M. Yılmaz D
89 V. Sarı D
2 Thalisson Kelven D
17 E. Yeşilyurt D
16 O. Petrusenko M
18 J. Kałuziński M
5 S. Dikmen M
10 S. Larsson M
22 S. van de Streek M
9 A. Gaich F
Bench (10)
81 B. Samudio
8 R. Safouri
77 A. Dursun
25 A. Townsend
6 E. Rakip
4 A. Gërxhaliu
72 H. Toprak
21 A. Yiğiter
34 D. Özkan
7 B. Balcı

Coach: Alex

Kayserispor

4-5-1
1 O. Piri G
11 G. Sazdağı D
3 J. Attamah D
17 J. Jeanvier D
23 L. Carole D
70 Aylton Boa Morte M
26 B. Gezek M
6 A. Karimi M
10 M. Bourabia M
33 H. Kaldırım M
13 S. Bahoken F
Bench (10)
9 D. Nazon
79 Y. Ackah
28 R. Civelek
99 T. Sarıarslan
35 B. Özgan
40 H. Yalçı
4 D. Kolovetsios
77 N. Korkmaz
39 Ş. Öztürk
19 A. Uzodimma

Coach: S. Kaloğlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,48
B
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.