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Serie B

Referee: A Arena

Palermo

T U U S T

1–2

Full-time

Catanzaro

U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 25%

31%

19%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

19%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

38%

56%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

27 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

10 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

3 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 8. · Catanzaro 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	17	12	4	1	+24	40
2	Pisa	17	10	5	2	+13	35
3	Spezia	17	9	7	1	+17	34
4	Cesena	17	7	4	6	+3	25
5	Cremonese	16	7	3	6	+4	24
6	Bari	17	5	9	3	+4	24
7	Juve Stabia	16	5	7	4	-2	22
8	Palermo	16	5	6	5	+3	21
9	Catanzaro	16	3	11	2	+3	20
10	Modena	17	4	8	5	+0	20
11	Cosenza	17	4	8	5	-2	20
12	Brescia	16	5	4	7	-3	19
13	Mantova	17	4	7	6	-4	19
14	Carrarese	16	5	4	7	-5	19
15	Reggiana	17	4	6	7	-3	18
16	Sampdoria	17	4	6	7	-6	18
17	Salernitana	16	4	5	7	-6	17
18	Frosinone	17	3	7	7	-10	16
19	Sudtirol	17	4	2	11	-14	14
20	Cittadella	16	3	5	8	-16	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Pisa	9	6	3	0	+11	21
3	Cesena	9	6	2	1	+7	20
4	Sassuolo	8	6	1	1	+14	19
5	Carrarese	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Mantova	8	4	3	1	+3	15
7	Catanzaro	9	3	5	1	+5	14
8	Bari	9	3	5	1	+2	14
9	Modena	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Brescia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Salernitana	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Juve Stabia	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Cremonese	8	3	2	3	-2	11
14	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Palermo	7	2	3	2	+2	9
16	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Reggiana	9	2	3	4	-2	9
18	Frosinone	9	1	5	3	-4	8
19	Sudtirol	9	2	2	5	-7	8
20	Cittadella	7	0	5	2	-3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	9	6	3	0	+10	21
2	Pisa	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Cremonese	8	4	1	3	+6	13
4	Spezia	9	2	6	1	+3	12
5	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
6	Juve Stabia	8	2	5	1	+0	11
7	Bari	8	2	4	2	+2	10
8	Cosenza	8	2	4	2	+0	10
9	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Sampdoria	9	2	3	4	-5	9
11	Cittadella	9	3	0	6	-13	9
12	Modena	9	1	5	3	-3	8
13	Brescia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Frosinone	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Catanzaro	7	0	6	1	-2	6
16	Salernitana	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	Sudtirol	8	2	0	6	-7	6
18	Cesena	8	1	2	5	-4	5
19	Mantova	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Carrarese	8	1	1	6	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.