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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Dundee United
T U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
36%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
53%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
22 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 4. · Kilmarnock 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 14 13 1 0 +37 40
2 Aberdeen 15 10 3 2 +12 33
3 Rangers 14 9 2 3 +15 29
4 Dundee United 14 6 5 3 +7 23
5 Dundee 15 5 4 6 +0 19
6 Motherwell 14 6 1 7 -6 19
7 St Mirren 15 5 3 7 -6 18
8 Ross County 15 3 6 6 -15 15
9 ST Johnstone 15 4 1 10 -11 13
10 Kilmarnock 15 3 4 8 -17 13
11 Hibernian 15 2 6 7 -7 12
12 Hearts 15 2 4 9 -9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Sep -24 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 3–3 24. May -23 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 0–3 1. Feb -23 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–0 9. Nov -22 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 4–0 30. Jul -22 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–1

Match report

Dundee United Kilmarnock
Half-time 0–0
Will Ferry 🟨
55′
60′
🔁 K. O'Hara
↦ R. McCrorie
67′
🔁 B. Wales
↦ D. Armstrong
78′
🟨 Joe Wright
1–0 S. Dalby ⚽
79′
R. Odada 🔁
↦ D. Babunski
84′
J. van der Sande 🔁
↦ L. Moult
87′
87′
🔁 G. Mackay-Steven
↦ R. Deas
87′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ K. Vassell
87′
🔁 K. Magennis
↦ L. Polworth
Richard Odada 🟨
91′
94′
ℹ️ Bobby Wales
VAR: Penalty confirmed
M. Thomson 🔁
↦ L. Stephenson
95′
95′
⚽ B. Anderson 1–1
Emmanuel Adegboyega 🟨
100′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-5-2
1 J. Walton G
16 E. Adegboyega D
31 D. Gallagher D
4 K. Holt D
2 R. Strain M
17 L. Stephenson M
5 V. Ševelj M
10 D. Babunski M
11 W. Ferry M
19 S. Dalby F
9 L. Moult F
Bench (9)
12 R. Odada
20 J. van der Sande
29 M. Thomson
42 O. Stirton
15 G. Middleton
25 D. Richards
18 K. Fotheringham
6 R. Graham
70 M. Ubochioma

Coach: J. Goodwin

Kilmarnock

3-4-1-2
20 R. McCrorie G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
6 R. Deas D
11 D. Armstrong M
31 L. Polworth M
3 C. Ndaba M
15 F. Murray M
8 B. Lyons F
9 K. Vassell F
19 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
1 K. O'Hara
24 B. Wales
14 G. Mackay-Steven
23 M. Watkins
16 K. Magennis
7 R. McKenzie
51 O. Bainbridge
2 J. Burroughs
12 D. Watson

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
🔒
U ✓
3,39
🔒
B
3,24
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,98
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,81
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.