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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Dundee United
T T U S U
2–0
Full-time
St Mirren
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 37%
38%
36%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
38%
86%
Both score Ø 59%
54%
64%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dundee United 4. · St Mirren 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 12 11 1 0 +31 34
2 Aberdeen 13 10 2 1 +13 32
3 Rangers 12 7 2 3 +8 23
4 Dundee United 13 5 5 3 +5 20
5 Motherwell 12 6 1 5 +0 19
6 St Mirren 14 5 3 6 -4 18
7 Dundee 13 4 3 6 -3 15
8 Ross County 14 3 6 5 -10 15
9 ST Johnstone 14 4 1 9 -10 13
10 Kilmarnock 13 3 3 7 -11 12
11 Hearts 14 2 3 9 -9 9
12 Hibernian 14 1 6 7 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United St Mirren
Jack Walton 🟨
13′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Greg Kiltie
M. Thomson 🔁
↦ D. Babunski
60′
61′
🟨 Elvis Bwomono
64′
🔁 M. Mandron
↦ C. McMenamin
L. Moult 🔁
↦ S. Dalby
72′
72′
🔁 J. Ayunga
↦ T. Olusanya
J. van der Sande 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
73′
Kevin Holt ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
78′
1–0 K. Holt
79′
80′
🔁 D. John
↦ S. Tanser
80′
🔁 R. Idowu
↦ G. Kiltie
Will Ferry 🟨
86′
90′
ℹ️ Marcus Fraser
VAR: Card upgrade
91′
🟥 Marcus Fraser
Kevin Holt
penalty missed
92′
2–0 E. Adegboyega
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-3
1 J. Walton G
16 E. Adegboyega D
31 D. Gallagher D
4 K. Holt D
2 R. Strain M
5 V. Ševelj M
10 D. Babunski M
11 W. Ferry M
17 L. Stephenson F
19 S. Dalby F
15 G. Middleton F
Bench (9)
29 M. Thomson
9 L. Moult
20 J. van der Sande
70 M. Ubochioma
18 K. Fotheringham
42 O. Stirton
12 R. Odada
6 R. Graham
25 D. Richards

Coach: J. Goodwin

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 E. Balcombe G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
42 E. Bwomono M
88 K. Phillips M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
20 T. Olusanya F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
9 M. Mandron
7 J. Ayunga
24 D. John
12 R. Idowu
26 L. Kenny
27 P. Urminský
15 C. Boyd-Munce
8 O. Smyth
33 E. Mooney

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,34
B
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.