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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Dundee United
T T T T U
1–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
18%
36%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 12. · St Mirren 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 28 26 1 1 +70 79
2 Rangers 29 23 4 2 +45 73
3 Hearts 28 13 6 9 +9 45
4 Hibernian 28 12 4 12 +1 40
5 Livingston 29 11 6 12 -13 39
6 Aberdeen 28 12 2 14 -9 38
7 St Mirren 28 10 7 11 -11 37
8 ST Johnstone 28 9 4 15 -15 31
9 Motherwell 29 8 6 15 -8 30
10 Ross County 29 6 6 17 -18 24
11 Kilmarnock 28 6 6 16 -27 24
12 Dundee United 28 5 6 17 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Oct -22 St Mirren – Dundee United 2–1 20. Aug -22 Dundee United – St Mirren 0–3 19. Mar -22 St Mirren – Dundee United 1–2 18. Jan -22 Dundee United – St Mirren 1–2 11. Sep -21 St Mirren – Dundee United 0–0

Match report

Dundee United St Mirren
1–0 S. Fletcher ⚽
3′
6′
🟨 Marcus Fraser
Half-time 1–0
A. Djoum 🔁
↦ P. Pawlett
59′
K. Fotheringham 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
59′
73′
⚽ M. O'Hara 1–1
74′
🔁 T. Small
↦ S. Tanser
Ryan Edwards 🟨
77′
83′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ R. Strain
I. Niskanen 🔁
↦ I. Harkes
88′
M. Anim Cudjoe 🔁
↦ S. McMann
88′
89′
🔁 J. Shaughnessy
↦ G. Kiltie
K. Freeman 🔁
↦ L. Smith
95′
99′
🔁 C. Boyd-Munce
↦ R. Taylor
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
1 M. Birighitti G
27 L. Ayina D
12 R. Edwards D
3 S. McMann D
2 L. Smith M
23 I. Harkes M
14 C. Sibbald M
16 A. Behich M
8 P. Pawlett F
18 J. McGrath F
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
10 A. Djoum
25 K. Fotheringham
7 I. Niskanen
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
22 K. Freeman
39 M. Thomson
44 R. MacLeod
31 J. Newman
6 R. Graham

Coach: J. Goodwin

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
3 S. Tanser D
11 G. Kiltie M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
21 A. Greive
10 C. Main F
Bench (9)
16 T. Small
8 R. Flynn
4 J. Shaughnessy
15 C. Boyd-Munce
24 L. Jamieson
30 F. Taylor
27 P. Urminský
25 K. Offord
32 L. Kenny

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,73
🔒
U ✓
3,24
🔒
B
2,61
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,16
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,68
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.