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Premiership

Referee: K Beaton

St Mirren

T T S U S

2–1

Full-time

Aberdeen

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

This season — Premiership · 13/11 matches

Win Ø 61%

31%

91%

Points per game

1,2

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

85%

73%

Both score Ø 68%

62%

73%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%

16 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Aberdeen 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	11	10	1	0	+28	31
2	Aberdeen	11	10	1	0	+14	31
3	Rangers	12	7	2	3	+8	23
4	Dundee United	13	5	5	3	+5	20
5	Motherwell	12	6	1	5	+0	19
6	St Mirren	13	4	3	6	-5	15
7	Ross County	14	3	6	5	-10	15
8	ST Johnstone	14	4	1	9	-10	13
9	Dundee	12	3	3	6	-6	12
10	Kilmarnock	13	3	3	7	-11	12
11	Hearts	13	2	3	8	-6	9
12	Hibernian	12	1	5	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aberdeen	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Rangers	7	6	1	0	+12	19
3	Celtic	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Ross County	8	3	3	2	+2	12
5	St Mirren	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Dundee United	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Motherwell	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Dundee	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Hibernian	7	1	3	3	-2	6
10	ST Johnstone	6	2	0	4	-5	6
11	Hearts	5	1	2	2	+2	5
12	Kilmarnock	5	1	2	2	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	6	6	0	0	+17	18
2	Aberdeen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Dundee United	7	2	4	1	+1	10
4	Motherwell	6	3	0	3	+0	9
5	ST Johnstone	8	2	1	5	-5	7
6	Kilmarnock	8	2	1	5	-7	7
7	Dundee	6	1	2	3	-6	5
8	Rangers	5	1	1	3	-4	4
9	St Mirren	6	1	1	4	-7	4
10	Hearts	8	1	1	6	-8	4
11	Ross County	6	0	3	3	-12	3
12	Hibernian	5	0	2	3	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.