Serie B
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ternana
Ascoli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Parma
|
34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | +27 | 70 |
| 2 |
Venezia
|
35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | +24 | 67 |
| 3 |
Como
|
34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 67 |
| 4 |
Cremonese
|
35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | +14 | 60 |
| 5 |
Catanzaro
|
35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | +11 | 57 |
| 6 |
Palermo
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +10 | 52 |
| 7 |
Sampdoria
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -1 | 47 |
| 8 |
Brescia
|
34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 46 |
| 9 |
Pisa
|
35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | -1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Cittadella
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 |
Sudtirol
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -1 | 43 |
| 12 |
Modena
|
34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 |
Reggiana
|
34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 |
Cosenza
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | +1 | 39 |
| 15 |
Ternana
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |
Bari
|
34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 |
Ascoli
|
34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 19 |
FeralpiSalo
|
34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -19 | 31 |
| 20 |
Lecco
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 26 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Brescia
Ternana
Cremonese
Ternana
Ternana
Modena
Sampdoria
Ternana
Ternana
Cosenza
D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.