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Serie B
Referee: D Ghersini
Ternana
S T U S U
0–1
Full-time
Ascoli
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 24%
26%
21%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 53%
59%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 15. · Ascoli 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 34 20 10 4 +27 70
2 Venezia 35 20 7 8 +24 67
3 Como 34 20 7 7 +17 67
4 Cremonese 35 17 9 9 +14 60
5 Catanzaro 35 16 9 10 +11 57
6 Palermo 34 14 10 10 +10 52
7 Sampdoria 34 13 8 13 -1 47
8 Brescia 34 11 13 10 +3 46
9 Pisa 35 11 12 12 -1 45
10 Cittadella 34 11 11 12 -3 44
11 Sudtirol 34 11 10 13 -1 43
12 Modena 34 8 16 10 -7 40
13 Reggiana 34 8 16 10 -8 40
14 Cosenza 34 9 12 13 +1 39
15 Ternana 34 9 10 15 -7 37
16 Bari 34 7 15 12 -10 36
17 Spezia 34 7 15 12 -15 36
18 Ascoli 34 7 13 14 -5 34
19 FeralpiSalo 34 8 7 19 -19 31
20 Lecco 34 6 8 20 -30 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ternana Ascoli
Half-time 0–0
G. Faticanti 🔁
↦ L. Amatucci
46′
62′
🔁 P. Masini
↦ L. Valzania
62′
🔁 Pablo Rodríguez
↦ D. Ďuriš
F. Distefano 🔁
↦ F. Dionisi
64′
72′
🔁 J. Tarantino
↦ I. Nestorovski
72′
🔁 R. Celia
↦ K. Zedadka
C. Favasuli 🔁
↦ T. Casasola
74′
76′
🟨 Marcello Falzerano
A. Raimondo 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
79′
F. Sørensen 🔁
↦ G. Boloca
80′
80′
🔁 Eric Botteghin
↦ S. Väisänen
Kees de Boer 🟨
82′
86′
🟨 Giuseppe Bellusci
90′
Eric Botteghin 0–1
G. Bellusci
Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U
3,10
B ✓
2,85
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.