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2. Bundesliga

Referee: W Haslberger

Paderborn

T T T U S

3–1

Full-time

Elversberg

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Elversberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 39%

40%

37%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

73%

63%

Both score Ø 67%

70%

63%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

3 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 8. · Elversberg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	31	18	9	4	+24	63
2	Holstein Kiel	30	19	4	7	+26	61
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	16	7	7	+29	55
4	Hamburg	30	14	7	9	+13	49
5	Karlsruhe	30	12	10	8	+16	46
6	Hannover	31	11	13	7	+14	46
7	Hertha	31	12	9	10	+11	45
8	Paderborn	30	12	7	11	-3	43
9	Greuther Furth	30	12	6	12	-3	42
10	Elversberg	30	11	7	12	-8	40
11	Nurnberg	30	10	7	13	-18	37
12	Magdeburg	30	9	9	12	-4	36
13	Schalke 04	30	10	6	14	-10	36
14	Braunschweig	30	10	4	16	-8	34
15	Wehen	30	8	8	14	-9	32
16	Hansa Rostock	31	9	4	18	-24	31
17	Kaiserslautern	30	8	6	16	-13	30
18	Osnabruck	30	5	9	16	-33	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	10	5	1	+18	35
2	Karlsruhe	16	9	5	2	+18	32
3	Hamburg	15	10	0	5	+13	30
4	Greuther Furth	15	9	3	3	+11	30
5	Holstein Kiel	15	9	1	5	+9	28
6	Hertha	16	7	6	3	+19	27
7	Hannover	15	7	6	2	+15	27
8	Schalke 04	15	8	3	4	+9	27
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	3	4	+8	27
10	Magdeburg	15	6	4	5	+4	22
11	Braunschweig	15	6	4	5	+3	22
12	Kaiserslautern	15	6	2	7	-3	20
13	Hansa Rostock	15	6	2	7	-5	20
14	Paderborn	15	5	4	6	-2	19
15	Elversberg	15	5	4	6	-4	19
16	Nurnberg	15	5	4	6	-8	19
17	Wehen	14	4	5	5	-3	17
18	Osnabruck	15	3	5	7	-10	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	15	10	3	2	+17	33
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	4	3	+21	28
3	St Pauli	15	8	4	3	+6	28
4	Paderborn	15	7	3	5	-1	24
5	Elversberg	15	6	3	6	-4	21
6	Hamburg	15	4	7	4	+0	19
7	Hannover	16	4	7	5	-1	19
8	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-8	18
9	Nurnberg	15	5	3	7	-10	18
10	Wehen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
11	Karlsruhe	14	3	5	6	-2	14
12	Magdeburg	15	3	5	7	-8	14
13	Braunschweig	15	4	0	11	-11	12
14	Greuther Furth	15	3	3	9	-14	12
15	Hansa Rostock	16	3	2	11	-19	11
16	Kaiserslautern	15	2	4	9	-10	10
17	Osnabruck	15	2	4	9	-23	10
18	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.