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Championship
Referee: M Donohue
Huddersfield
U S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Birmingham
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 44/44 matches
Win Ø 24%
20%
27%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 58%
66%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,09 xG 1,11
54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 23. · Birmingham 22.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 44 30 4 10 +47 +36.4 94
2 Ipswich 43 26 11 6 +32 +24.7 89
3 Leeds 43 25 9 9 +37 +37.5 84
4 Southampton 42 23 9 10 +21 +30.5 78
5 West Brom 42 20 12 10 +26 +7.2 72
6 Norwich 42 21 9 12 +18 -0.4 72
7 Hull 44 19 12 13 +9 +7.5 69
8 Coventry 43 17 12 14 +13 +9.8 63
9 Middlesbrough 44 18 9 17 +4 +11.1 63
10 Preston 44 18 9 17 -5 -13.6 63
11 Cardiff 44 19 5 20 -11 -24.8 62
12 Bristol City 44 16 11 17 +4 -1.4 59
13 Sunderland 44 16 8 20 +1 +7.6 56
14 Swansea 44 15 11 18 -5 -5.6 56
15 Watford 44 12 17 15 +1 -1.7 53
16 QPR 45 14 11 20 -12 -4.5 53
17 Millwall 44 14 11 19 -12 -11.2 53
18 Stoke 44 13 11 20 -16 -3.3 50
19 Blackburn 44 13 10 21 -16 -9.4 49
20 Plymouth 44 12 12 20 -11 -21.0 48
21 Sheffield Weds 44 13 8 23 -29 -8.4 47
22 Birmingham 44 12 10 22 -16 -8.6 46
23 Huddersfield 44 9 17 18 -27 -13.0 44
24 Rotherham 44 4 12 28 -53 -45.4 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Birmingham
35′
🟨 Lee Buchanan
45′
K. Miyoshi 0–1
K. Anderson
Half-time 1–1
1–1 R. Healey
J. Rudoni
47′
S. Thomas 🔁
↦ J. Koroma
58′
65′
🔁 S. Dembélé
↦ J. Bacuna
B. Wiles 🔁
↦ A. Matos
68′
75′
🟨 Keshi Anderson
77′
🔁 M. Roberts
↦ K. Anderson
77′
🔁 A. Pritchard
↦ K. Miyoshi
77′
🔁 L. Jutkiewicz
↦ I. Šunjić
B. Radulović 🔁
↦ O. Turton
79′
Jack Rudoni 🟨
80′
86′
🟨 Krystian Bielik
89′
🟨 Ethan Laird
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Huddersfield

3-5-2
1 L. Nicholls G
4 M. Pearson D
5 M. Helik D
17 B. Spencer D
20 O. Turton M
21 A. Matos M
8 J. Rudoni M
18 D. Kasumu M
10 J. Koroma M
25 D. Ward F
44 R. Healey F
Bench (9)
14 S. Thomas
23 B. Wiles
9 B. Radulović
16 T. Edwards
15 J. Headley
39 T. Iorpenda
7 D. Burgzorg
30 B. Jackson
12 C. Maxwell

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
21 J. Ruddy G
2 E. Laird D
6 K. Bielik D
5 D. Sanderson D
3 L. Buchanan D
13 Paik Seung-Ho M
34 I. Šunjić M
11 K. Miyoshi M
14 K. Anderson M
7 J. Bacuna M
28 J. Stansfield F
Bench (9)
17 S. Dembélé
4 M. Roberts
29 A. Pritchard
10 L. Jutkiewicz
8 T. Roberts
35 G. Hall
1 N. Etheridge
20 G. Gardner
19 J. James

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U ✓
3,33
B
3,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Donohue · 188 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.