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Serie B

Referee: L Zufferli

Cosenza

T T U U S

4–1

Full-time

Bari

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 24%

26%

21%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

41%

38%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

59%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

32% Possession 68%

13 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cosenza 14. · Bari 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	35	21	10	4	+31	73
2	Venezia	35	20	7	8	+24	67
3	Como	34	20	7	7	+17	67
4	Cremonese	35	17	9	9	+14	60
5	Catanzaro	35	16	9	10	+11	57
6	Palermo	34	14	10	10	+10	52
7	Brescia	35	11	14	10	+3	47
8	Sampdoria	34	13	8	13	-1	47
9	Pisa	35	11	12	12	-1	45
10	Cittadella	34	11	11	12	-3	44
11	Sudtirol	35	11	10	14	-2	43
12	Modena	35	9	16	10	-6	43
13	Reggiana	34	8	16	10	-8	40
14	Cosenza	34	9	12	13	+1	39
15	Ascoli	35	8	13	14	-4	37
16	Ternana	35	9	10	16	-8	37
17	Spezia	35	7	16	12	-15	37
18	Bari	34	7	15	12	-10	36
19	FeralpiSalo	34	8	7	19	-19	31
20	Lecco	35	6	8	21	-34	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	18	11	6	1	+17	39
2	Venezia	18	12	3	3	+15	39
3	Como	17	11	4	2	+12	37
4	Catanzaro	17	8	4	5	+7	28
5	Palermo	17	8	3	6	+7	27
6	Cremonese	17	7	5	5	+7	26
7	Brescia	18	6	8	4	+4	26
8	Pisa	18	6	7	5	+3	25
9	Cittadella	17	7	4	6	+3	25
10	Sudtirol	17	6	5	6	+2	23
11	Bari	17	5	8	4	+0	23
12	Modena	18	6	5	7	-2	23
13	Sampdoria	17	6	3	8	-1	21
14	Ascoli	17	4	8	5	+3	20
15	Spezia	17	4	8	5	-1	20
16	Ternana	18	4	7	7	-1	19
17	Cosenza	17	4	6	7	+1	18
18	Reggiana	17	2	10	5	-9	16
19	Lecco	17	4	2	11	-13	14
20	FeralpiSalo	17	3	4	10	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	17	10	4	3	+14	34
2	Cremonese	18	10	4	4	+7	34
3	Como	17	9	3	5	+5	30
4	Catanzaro	18	8	5	5	+4	29
5	Venezia	17	8	4	5	+9	28
6	Sampdoria	17	7	5	5	+0	26
7	Palermo	17	6	7	4	+3	25
8	Reggiana	17	6	6	5	+1	24
9	Cosenza	17	5	6	6	+0	21
10	Brescia	17	5	6	6	-1	21
11	Sudtirol	18	5	5	8	-4	20
12	Pisa	17	5	5	7	-4	20
13	Modena	17	3	11	3	-4	20
14	Cittadella	17	4	7	6	-6	19
15	Ternana	17	5	3	9	-7	18
16	FeralpiSalo	17	5	3	9	-11	18
17	Ascoli	18	4	5	9	-7	17
18	Spezia	18	3	8	7	-14	17
19	Bari	17	2	7	8	-10	13
20	Lecco	18	2	6	10	-21	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.