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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Ross County
T S U T U
2–1
Full-time
Hearts
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
17%
59%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
45%
34%
Both score Ø 34%
34%
34%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 15
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 11. · Hearts 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 29 23 1 5 +48 70
2 Celtic 29 21 5 3 +46 68
3 Hearts 29 17 4 8 +10 55
4 St Mirren 29 12 6 11 +2 42
5 Kilmarnock 29 10 11 8 +3 41
6 Dundee 29 9 9 11 -10 36
7 Hibernian 29 8 11 10 -7 35
8 Motherwell 29 7 11 11 -5 32
9 ST Johnstone 29 6 10 13 -18 28
10 Aberdeen 29 6 9 14 -16 27
11 Ross County 29 5 9 15 -24 24
12 Livingston 29 3 8 18 -29 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County Hearts
1–0 S. Murray
42′
Half-time 1–0
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ J. White
46′
2–0 S. Murray
E. Brophy
49′
Yan Dhanda 🟨
55′
57′
🔁 D. Lembikisa
↦ N. Atkinson
57′
🔁 J. Grant
↦ A. Denholm
63′
🟨 Lawrence Shankland
75′
ℹ️ Stephen Kingsley
VAR: Goal cancelled
B. Khela 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
77′
Victor Loturi 🟨
80′
82′
🔁 Y. Oda
↦ A. Cochrane
J. Sims 🔁
↦ S. Murray
84′
91′
Y. Oda 2–1
J. Grant
G. Harmon 🔁
↦ J. Reid
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ross County

3-4-1-2
40 G. Wickens G
24 M. Efete D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
28 L. Ayina M
12 M. Sheaf M
14 V. Loturi M
43 J. Reid M
10 Y. Dhanda F
26 J. White F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
27 E. Brophy
19 B. Khela
11 J. Sims
16 G. Harmon
2 C. Randall
4 J. Brown
17 J. Henderson
1 R. Laidlaw
3 C. Borthwick-Jackson

Coach: D. Cowie

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
21 T. Sibbick D
15 K. Rowles D
3 S. Kingsley D
13 N. Atkinson M
77 K. Vargas M
6 B. Baningime M
19 A. Cochrane M
17 A. Forrest M
9 L. Shankland F
22 A. Denholm F
Bench (9)
81 D. Lembikisa
7 J. Grant
11 Y. Oda
47 B. McLuckie
14 C. Devlin
30 K. Tagawa
29 S. Fraser
1 C. Gordon
25 M. Tait

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,24
U
3,63
B
1,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.