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Ligue 2

Referee: N Rainville

St Etienne

S S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Caen

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 49%

53%

44%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

35%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

29%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Etienne 3. · Caen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	34	18	10	6	+29	64
2	Angers	34	18	7	9	+14	61
3	St Etienne	34	18	6	10	+17	60
4	Rodez	34	14	11	9	+10	53
5	Paris FC	34	14	10	10	+6	52
6	Pau FC	34	13	12	9	+7	51
7	Caen	34	15	6	13	+3	51
8	Laval	34	13	10	11	-5	49
9	Guingamp	34	12	11	11	+5	47
10	Bastia	34	13	8	13	-3	47
11	Grenoble	34	11	12	11	+1	45
12	Amiens	34	10	15	9	-3	45
13	Bordeaux	34	12	9	13	-4	45
14	Ajaccio	34	12	9	13	-4	45
15	Dunkerque	34	11	8	15	-15	41
16	Annecy	34	10	9	15	-3	39
17	Troyes	34	8	12	14	-8	36
18	Concarneau	34	9	8	17	-15	35
19	Quevilly Rouen	34	6	16	12	-3	34
20	Valenciennes	34	3	11	20	-29	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	17	12	3	2	+15	39
2	Auxerre	17	10	5	2	+20	35
3	Ajaccio	17	10	5	2	+13	35
4	Rodez	17	9	6	2	+13	33
5	St Etienne	17	9	3	5	+9	30
6	Caen	17	9	3	5	+9	30
7	Bordeaux	17	8	5	4	+7	29
8	Paris FC	17	8	4	5	+7	28
9	Bastia	17	8	4	5	+0	28
10	Pau FC	17	7	6	4	+7	27
11	Grenoble	17	6	7	4	+3	25
12	Troyes	17	7	3	7	+3	24
13	Amiens	17	5	8	4	+1	23
14	Guingamp	17	5	6	6	+4	21
15	Laval	17	5	5	7	-8	20
16	Annecy	17	4	6	7	-5	18
17	Concarneau	17	4	5	8	-9	17
18	Quevilly Rouen	17	3	7	7	-3	16
19	Dunkerque	17	4	3	10	-13	15
20	Valenciennes	17	2	6	9	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	17	9	3	5	+8	30
2	Auxerre	17	8	5	4	+9	29
3	Laval	17	8	5	4	+3	29
4	Guingamp	17	7	5	5	+1	26
5	Dunkerque	17	7	5	5	-2	26
6	Pau FC	17	6	6	5	+0	24
7	Paris FC	17	6	6	5	-1	24
8	Angers	17	6	4	7	-1	22
9	Amiens	17	5	7	5	-4	22
10	Annecy	17	6	3	8	+2	21
11	Caen	17	6	3	8	-6	21
12	Grenoble	17	5	5	7	-2	20
13	Rodez	17	5	5	7	-3	20
14	Bastia	17	5	4	8	-3	19
15	Quevilly Rouen	17	3	9	5	+0	18
16	Concarneau	17	5	3	9	-6	18
17	Bordeaux	17	4	4	9	-11	16
18	Troyes	17	1	9	7	-11	12
19	Ajaccio	17	2	4	11	-17	10
20	Valenciennes	17	1	5	11	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.