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Championship
Referee: G Scott
3–0
Full-time
West Brom
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 44/42 matches
Win Ø 39%
30%
48%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 45%
39%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,10 xG 1,29
35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 22
7 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 12
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 21. · West Brom 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 44 30 4 10 +47 +36.4 94
2 Ipswich 43 26 11 6 +32 +24.7 89
3 Leeds 43 25 9 9 +37 +37.5 84
4 Southampton 42 23 9 10 +21 +30.5 78
5 West Brom 42 20 12 10 +26 +7.2 72
6 Norwich 42 21 9 12 +18 -0.4 72
7 Hull 44 19 12 13 +9 +7.5 69
8 Coventry 43 17 12 14 +13 +9.8 63
9 Middlesbrough 44 18 9 17 +4 +11.1 63
10 Preston 44 18 9 17 -5 -13.6 63
11 Cardiff 44 19 5 20 -11 -24.8 62
12 Bristol City 44 16 11 17 +4 -1.4 59
13 Sunderland 44 16 8 20 +1 +7.6 56
14 Swansea 44 15 11 18 -5 -5.6 56
15 Watford 44 12 17 15 +1 -1.7 53
16 QPR 45 14 11 20 -12 -4.5 53
17 Millwall 44 14 11 19 -12 -11.2 53
18 Stoke 44 13 11 20 -16 -3.3 50
19 Blackburn 44 13 10 21 -16 -9.4 49
20 Plymouth 44 12 12 20 -11 -21.0 48
21 Sheffield Weds 44 13 8 23 -29 -8.4 47
22 Birmingham 44 12 10 22 -16 -8.6 46
23 Huddersfield 44 9 17 18 -27 -13.0 44
24 Rotherham 44 4 12 28 -53 -45.4 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds West Brom
1–0 A. Musaba
22′
Anthony Musaba 🟨
23′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 I. Ugbo
50′
55′
🔁 B. Thomas-Asante
↦ J. Wallace
55′
🔁 T. Fellows
↦ C. Townsend
55′
🔁 A. Reach
↦ M. Phillips
55′
🔁 A. Mowatt
↦ Y. MVila
Josh Windass 🟨
69′
3–0 J. Windass
69′
71′
🔁 J. Swift
↦ M. Johnston
D. Gassama 🔁
↦ J. Windass
76′
C. Paterson 🔁
↦ A. Musaba
76′
M. Smith 🔁
↦ I. Ugbo
76′
Bambo Diaby 🔁
↦ B. Bannan
77′
A. Famewo 🔁
↦ D. Bernard
86′
Akin Famewo 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Kyle Bartley
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

3-4-2-1
26 J. Beadle G
2 L. Palmer D
6 D. Iorfa D
17 D. Bernard D
14 Pol Valentín M
4 W. Vaulks M
10 B. Bannan M
18 M. Johnson M
45 A. Musaba F
11 J. Windass F
12 I. Ugbo F
Bench (9)
41 D. Gassama
13 C. Paterson
24 M. Smith
5 Bambo Diaby
23 A. Famewo
44 M. Diaby
42 B. Cadamarteri
1 C. Dawson
3 K. Pedersen

Coach: N. Thompson

West Brom

4-2-3-1
24 A. Palmer G
2 D. Furlong D
5 K. Bartley D
4 C. Kipré D
3 C. Townsend D
22 Y. M'Vila M
35 O. Yokuşlu M
10 M. Phillips M
11 G. Diangana M
23 M. Johnston M
7 J. Wallace F
Bench (9)
21 B. Thomas-Asante
31 T. Fellows
20 A. Reach
27 A. Mowatt
19 J. Swift
6 S. Ajayi
14 N. Chalobah
33 J. Griffiths
9 J. Maja

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,93
U
3,26
B
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Scott · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.