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Serie B
Referee: G Manganiello
Brescia
U S S T U
0–0
Full-time
Spezia
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 27%
32%
21%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
29%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
53%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 8. · Spezia 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 34 20 10 4 +27 70
2 Venezia 35 20 7 8 +24 67
3 Como 34 20 7 7 +17 67
4 Cremonese 35 17 9 9 +14 60
5 Catanzaro 35 16 9 10 +11 57
6 Palermo 34 14 10 10 +10 52
7 Sampdoria 34 13 8 13 -1 47
8 Brescia 34 11 13 10 +3 46
9 Pisa 35 11 12 12 -1 45
10 Cittadella 34 11 11 12 -3 44
11 Sudtirol 34 11 10 13 -1 43
12 Modena 34 8 16 10 -7 40
13 Reggiana 34 8 16 10 -8 40
14 Cosenza 34 9 12 13 +1 39
15 Ternana 34 9 10 15 -7 37
16 Bari 34 7 15 12 -10 36
17 Spezia 34 7 15 12 -15 36
18 Ascoli 34 7 13 14 -5 34
19 FeralpiSalo 34 8 7 19 -19 31
20 Lecco 34 6 8 20 -30 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Spezia
45′
🟨 Luca Vignali
Half-time 0–0
M. Bertagnoli 🔁
↦ B. Bjarnason
46′
56′
🔁 R. Kouda
↦ F. Bandinelli
56′
🔁 D. Verde
↦ D. Falcinelli
M. Huard 🔁
↦ M. Besaggio
65′
F. Paghera 🔁
↦ T. van de Looi
65′
Dimitri Bisoli 🟨
66′
71′
🔁 A. Reca
↦ L. Vignali
M. Ferro 🔁
↦ N. Galazzi
77′
83′
🔁 F. Jagiełło
↦ S. Elia
84′
🔁 F. Esposito
↦ G. Di Serio
87′
🟨 Aleš Matějů
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-2-1
1 L. Lezzerini G
24 L. Dickmann D
15 A. Cistana D
28 D. Adorni D
18 A. Jallow D
25 D. Bisoli M
5 T. van de Looi M
39 M. Besaggio M
23 N. Galazzi M
7 B. Bjarnason M
9 F. Bianchi F
Bench (11)
26 M. Bertagnoli
3 M. Huard
4 F. Paghera
31 M. Ferro
30 M. Avella
32 A. Papetti
21 R. Fogliata
6 M. Fares
11 G. Moncini
16 R. Cartano
14 M. Mangraviti

Coach: R. Maran

Spezia

3-5-2
1 J. Zoet G
37 A. Matějů D
55 P. Hristov D
43 D. Nikolaou D
7 S. Elia M
8 Á. Nagy M
10 S. Esposito M
25 F. Bandinelli M
14 L. Vignali M
16 D. Falcinelli F
20 G. Di Serio F
Bench (12)
80 R. Kouda
99 D. Verde
13 A. Reca
97 F. Jagiełło
9 F. Esposito
77 N. Bertola
5 G. Tanco
36 P. Candelari
40 P. Zovko
33 I. Gelashvili
2 P. Wiśniewski
24 L. Moro

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U ✓
3,00
B
2,88
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.