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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: A Bodding
Moss
T S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Egersund
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Egersund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 63%
25%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,7
Scored
1,3
3,3
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 7. · Egersund 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sogndal 4 2 2 0 +3 8
2 Levanger 4 2 1 1 +5 7
3 Egersund 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Stabaek 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Kongsvinger 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Bryne 4 2 0 2 +1 6
7 Moss 4 2 0 2 -2 6
8 Valerenga 4 1 2 1 -1 5
9 Ranheim 4 1 1 2 +0 4
10 Lyn 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Sandnes ULF 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Aalesund 4 1 1 2 -3 4
13 Asane 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Mjondalen 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Start 4 0 2 2 -4 2
16 Raufoss 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Egersund
8′
A. Helmersen 0–1
1–1 B. Hegland
16′
41′
🔁 O. Opsahl
↦ R. Williams
Half-time 1–1
53′
🟨 A. Helmersen
58′
🟨 J. Staalesen
61′
🔁 M. Høiseth
↦ H. Tadesse
N. Alexandersson 🟨
68′
72′
🟨 H. Larsen
77′
🔁 M. Dia
↦ I. Halgunset
77′
🔁 J. Salmon
↦ A. Helmersen
77′
🔁 J. Voilås
↦ S. Michalsen
A. Lajqi 🔁
↦ T. Jakobsen
86′
A. Hussein 🔁
↦ I. Hoffmann
86′
S. Elmi 🔁
↦ A. Potur
86′
90′
M. Høiseth 1–2
93′
🟨 J. Salmon
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. Ranmark
3 K. Strande
21 I. Hoffmann
5 I. Kukleci
2 M. Andresen
20 A. Potur
10 B. Hegland
16 O. Kjeilen Stavdal
9 S. Pedersen
23 N. Alexandersson
11 T. Jakobsen
Bench (9)
14 A. Lajqi
15 A. Hussein
18 S. Elmi
4 H. Gjesdal
8 V. Hellestø
12 E. Myrhaug Bachke
13 H. Race
22 S. Martinsen-Wold
29 K. Mayonga

Coach: T. Myhre

Egersund

31 K. Skjærstein
12 R. Williams
2 Å. Midtskogen
14 J. Stålesen
8 C. Sleveland
10 S. Michalsen
17 I. Halgunset
22 H. Tadesse
4 H. Falchener
7 H. Larsen
20 A. Helmersen
Bench (9)
5 O. Opsahl
23 M. Høiseth
24 M. Dia
26 J. Salmon
77 J. Voilås
1 A. Klemensson
9 M. Dahlby
15 H. Elvevold
19 F. Ghebreyohannes

Coach: K. Thu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.