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Conference League
Referee: G Nuza
HJK Helsinki
S T U T T
2–2
Full-time
Aberdeen
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,30 xG 1,29
57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Aberdeen – HJK Helsinki 1–1

Match report

HJK Helsinki Aberdeen
1–0 H. Bandé ⚽
M. Peltola
16′
2–0 S. Hostikka ⚽
L. Lingman
33′
41′
⚽ A. MacDonald 2–1
42′
🟨 Connor Barron
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 E. Sokler
↦ P. Guèye
46′
🔁 J. McGrath
↦ R. Duncan
56′
⚽ Duk 2–2
R. Jensen
P. Hetemaj 🔁
↦ G. Kanellópoulos
67′
J. Raitala 🔁
↦ S. Hostikka
68′
T. Ollila 🔁
↦ H. Bandé
68′
A. Olusanya 🔁
↦ A. Halme
74′
74′
🔁 B. Miovski
↦ Duk
74′
🔁 N. Devlin
↦ J. Milne
Topi Keskinen 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
Lucas Lingman 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

3-4-3
85 N. Mäenpää G
6 A. Halme D
15 M. Tenho D
14 M. Peltola D
23 P. Soiri M
10 L. Lingman M
24 G. Kanellópoulos M
18 T. Keskinen M
7 S. Hostikka F
9 B. Radulović F
17 H. Bandé F
Bench (12)
56 P. Hetemaj
22 J. Raitala
2 T. Ollila
29 A. Olusanya
5 Kristopher Da Graca
8 F. Rogić
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
3 N. Hämäläinen
1 J. Öst
19 A. Paananen
37 A. Tanaka
4 J. Toivio

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Aberdeen

3-5-2
24 K. Roos G
33 S. Rubežić D
27 A. MacDonald D
5 R. Jensen D
28 J. Milne M
21 D. Polvara M
8 C. Barron M
23 R. Duncan M
17 J. Hayes M
14 P. Guèye F
11 Duk F
Bench (12)
19 E. Sokler
7 J. McGrath
9 B. Miovski
2 N. Devlin
31 R. Doohan
4 G. Shinnie
30 O. Dadia
18 R. Williams
15 J. McGarry
32 F. Marshall
10 L. Clarkson
6 S. Gartenmann

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nuza · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.