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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Ross County
S T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 29%
22%
36%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
70%
41%
Both score Ø 63%
70%
55%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
5 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 21
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 10. · Aberdeen 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 23 17 5 1 +30 56
2 Celtic 23 17 3 3 +34 54
3 Hearts 23 12 6 5 +14 42
4 Motherwell 23 9 5 9 -6 32
5 Hibernian 23 8 6 9 -1 30
6 Aberdeen 22 8 4 10 +0 28
7 Dundee United 23 8 4 11 -8 28
8 Livingston 24 7 5 12 -9 26
9 St Mirren 22 5 10 7 -11 25
10 Ross County 23 5 7 11 -7 22
11 ST Johnstone 23 4 6 13 -15 18
12 Dundee 22 4 5 13 -21 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Aug -21 Aberdeen – Ross County 1–1 16. Jan -21 Ross County – Aberdeen 4–1 12. Dec -20 Aberdeen – Ross County 2–0 27. Sep -20 Ross County – Aberdeen 0–3 22. Feb -20 Aberdeen – Ross County 1–2

Match report

Ross County Aberdeen
Dominic Samuel 🟨
26′
Jordan Tillson 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
C. Randall 🔁
↦ K. Ramsay
46′
48′
⚽ J. Hayes 0–1
S. Brown
Joseph Hungbo 🟨
52′
1–1 R. Callachan ⚽
53′
58′
🟨 Jonny Hayes
Regan Charles-Cook 🟨
59′
66′
🟨 Scott Brown
H. Paton 🔁
↦ J. Hungbo
67′
69′
🔁 T. Jenks
↦ D. McGeouch
Harrison Paton 🟨
70′
81′
🔁 J. MacKenzie
↦ F. Ojo
86′
🟨 Lewis Ferguson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ross County

4-4-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
15 K. Watson D
16 A. Iacovitti D
3 J. Vokins D
19 K. Ramsay D
8 R. Callachan M
22 J. Tillson M
17 R. Charles-Cook M
23 J. Hungbo M
26 J. White F
10 D. Samuel F
Bench (7)
2 C. Randall
6 H. Paton
32 A. Mackinnon
30 M. Wright
9 A. Samuel
21 R. Munro
20 D. Drysdale

Coach: M. Mackay

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
27 D. Bates D
22 C. Ramsay D
8 S. Brown M
17 J. Hayes D
16 F. Ojo M
15 D. McGeouch M
2 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson M
9 C. Ramírez F
10 V. Besuijen M
Bench (9)
20 T. Jenks
3 J. MacKenzie
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
25 G. Woods
33 M. Kennedy
5 D. Gallagher
24 D. Campbell
28 M. Ruth
11 A. Montgomery

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,32
🔒
U ✓
3,21
🔒
B
2,23
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,22
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.