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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Livingston
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Dundee United
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-2,0
This season — Premiership · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
37%
19%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
52%
59%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
17 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 7. · Dundee United 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 27 25 1 1 +68 76
2 Rangers 27 21 4 2 +40 67
3 Hearts 27 13 6 8 +11 45
4 Hibernian 27 12 4 11 +4 40
5 Aberdeen 28 12 2 14 -9 38
6 St Mirren 28 10 7 11 -11 37
7 Livingston 27 10 5 12 -14 35
8 ST Johnstone 28 9 4 15 -15 31
9 Motherwell 28 8 6 14 -6 30
10 Ross County 28 6 6 16 -17 24
11 Kilmarnock 28 6 6 16 -27 24
12 Dundee United 27 5 5 17 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -22 Dundee United – Livingston 0–1 2. Mar -22 Livingston – Dundee United 2–1 11. Dec -21 Dundee United – Livingston 0–1 27. Oct -21 Livingston – Dundee United 1–1 13. Feb -21 Dundee United – Livingston 3–0

Match report

Livingston Dundee United
5′
🟨 Kieran Freeman
1–0 S. Bradley ⚽
13′
23′
🟨 Ian Harkes
33′
🔁 L. Smith
↦ K. Freeman
44′
🟨 Sadat Anaku
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Fotheringham
↦ S. Anaku
59′
⚽ A. Behich 1–1
K. Fotheringham
64′
🟨 Loick Ayina
Luiyi de Lucas 🟨
65′
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
76′
S. Oméonga 🔁
↦ S. Bradley
81′
K. Guthrie 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
85′
87′
🔁 I. Niskanen
↦ J. McGrath
93′
🟨 Scott McMann
95′
🟨 Ilmari Niskanen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
23 L. de Lucas D
15 M. Boyes D
11 C. Montaño D
18 J. Holt M
22 A. Shinnie M
16 S. Bradley M
8 S. Pittman M
19 J. Nouble M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (7)
17 S. Kelly
33 S. Oméonga
28 K. Guthrie
32 J. Hamilton
12 J. Brandon
29 J. Penrice
7 D. Bahamboula

Coach: D. Martindale

Dundee United

3-5-2
1 M. Birighitti G
27 L. Ayina D
4 C. Mulgrew D
3 S. McMann D
22 K. Freeman M
23 I. Harkes M
14 C. Sibbald M
18 J. McGrath M
16 A. Behich M
20 S. Anaku F
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
2 L. Smith
25 K. Fotheringham
7 I. Niskanen
6 R. Graham
10 A. Djoum
39 M. Thomson
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
31 J. Newman
12 R. Edwards

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
🔒
U ✓
3,25
🔒
B
3,33
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,23
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,64
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.