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Serie B
Referee: M Guida
Cosenza
T S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Pisa
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
37%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
43%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 17. · Pisa 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 30 19 5 6 +29 62
2 Genoa 31 17 9 5 +21 60
3 Sudtirol 30 13 12 5 +6 51
4 Bari 30 13 11 6 +17 50
5 Pisa 30 11 12 7 +13 45
6 Cagliari 30 11 12 7 +9 45
7 Reggina 30 13 3 14 +3 42
8 Palermo 30 10 12 8 +1 42
9 Parma 30 11 8 11 +2 41
10 Como 30 9 12 9 -1 39
11 Ternana 30 10 9 11 -7 39
12 Modena 30 11 5 14 -2 38
13 Ascoli 30 9 9 12 -6 36
14 Cittadella 30 8 11 11 -11 35
15 Perugia 29 9 6 14 -2 33
16 Venezia 30 8 9 13 -8 33
17 Cosenza 30 8 8 14 -22 32
18 Benevento 30 6 11 13 -10 29
19 Spal 30 6 10 14 -11 28
20 Brescia 30 6 10 14 -21 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Pisa
Tommaso D'Orazio 🟨
12′
Idriz Voca 🟨
28′
1–0 M. Nasti
M. Marras
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Moruțan
↦ Tomás Esteves
55′
🔁 E. Torregrossa
↦ G. Sibilli
56′
🔁 M. Gargiulo
↦ A. De Vitis
G. Calò 🔁
↦ I. Voca
62′
A. Rispoli 🔁
↦ T. DOrazio
62′
68′
🔁 M. Tramoni
↦ M. Marin
C. D'Urso 🔁
↦ A. Florenzi
73′
74′
🔁 E. Zuelli
↦ G. Mastinu
Christian D'Urso 🟨
79′
M. Zilli 🔁
↦ I. Delić
81′
M. Finotto 🔁
↦ M. Nasti
81′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cosenza

4-4-2
1 A. Micai G
27 P. Martino D
5 M. Rigione D
13 A. Meroni D
11 T. D'Orazio D
32 M. Marras M
4 M. Brescianini M
42 I. Voca M
34 A. Florenzi M
19 I. Delić F
20 M. Nasti F
Bench (12)
6 G. Calò
3 A. Rispoli
10 C. D'Urso
40 M. Zilli
16 M. Finotto
33 S. La Vardera
14 N. Salihamidžić
15 S. Väisänen
23 M. Venturi
7 E. Kornvig
18 V. Agostinelli
77 L. Marson

Coach: W. Viali

Pisa

4-3-2-1
1 Nícolas G
6 H. Hermannsson D
4 A. Caracciolo D
93 F. Barba D
19 Tomás Esteves D
8 M. Marin M
30 A. De Vitis M
18 G. Mastinu M
32 S. Moreo M
17 G. Sibilli M
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (11)
80 O. Moruțan
10 E. Torregrossa
25 M. Gargiulo
27 M. Tramoni
21 E. Zuelli
44 A. Rus
33 A. Calabresi
77 L. Tramoni
22 A. Livieri
12 J. Guadagno
24 C. Sussi

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,65
U
3,11
B
2,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.