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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Livingston
U T S T T
1–4
Full-time
Hibernian
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,7
This season — Premiership · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 40%
38%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
54%
Both score Ø 44%
46%
42%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 7. · Hibernian 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 24 1 1 +64 73
2 Rangers 26 20 4 2 +38 64
3 Hearts 26 12 6 8 +8 42
4 Hibernian 26 11 4 11 +1 37
5 St Mirren 27 10 7 10 -7 37
6 Aberdeen 27 11 2 14 -11 35
7 Livingston 26 10 5 11 -11 35
8 ST Johnstone 27 9 4 14 -12 31
9 Motherwell 27 7 6 14 -8 27
10 Ross County 27 6 6 15 -15 24
11 Kilmarnock 27 6 6 15 -25 24
12 Dundee United 26 5 5 16 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Hibernian
1–0 J. Nouble
M. Boyes
9′
28′
É. Youan 1–1
37′
É. Youan 1–2
M. Hoppe
Half-time 1–2
Jack Fitzwater 🟥
52′
A. Obileye 🔁
↦ S. Kelly
54′
Cristian Montano 🟨
60′
61′
S. Oméonga 2–2
own goal
Nicky Devlin 🟨
63′
68′
🔁 K. Nisbet
↦ E. Henderson
68′
🔁 M. Kukharevych
↦ M. Hoppe
D. Bahamboula 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
69′
A. Shinnie 🔁
↦ S. Pittman
70′
J. Penrice 🔁
↦ C. Montaño
70′
Morgan Boyes 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 CJ Egan-Riley
L. de Lucas 🔁
↦ A. Obileye
76′
77′
🟨 Kevin Nisbet
79′
🔁 L. Miller
↦ C. Egan-Riley
86′
🟨 James Jeggo
93′
🔁 O. MacIntyre
↦ É. Youan
97′
M. Kukharevych 2–3
100′
ℹ️ Kevin Nisbet
VAR: Goal confirmed
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-2-1
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
5 J. Fitzwater D
15 M. Boyes D
11 C. Montaño D
33 S. Oméonga M
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
19 J. Nouble M
17 S. Kelly M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
6 A. Obileye
7 D. Bahamboula
22 A. Shinnie
29 J. Penrice
23 L. de Lucas
16 S. Bradley
28 K. Guthrie
12 J. Brandon
32 J. Hamilton

Coach: D. Martindale

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
25 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
3 M. Čabraja D
26 C. Egan-Riley M
14 J. Jeggo M
18 E. Henderson M
32 J. Campbell M
23 É. Youan M
13 M. Hoppe F
Bench (9)
15 K. Nisbet
99 M. Kukharevych
2 L. Miller
37 O. MacIntyre
10 Jair Tavares
16 L. Stevenson
31 M. Johnson
17 M. Devlin
39 J. O'Connor

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,98
U
3,20
B ✓
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.