Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Genk
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +45 | 65 |
| 2 |
Antwerp
|
27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | +34 | 61 |
| 3 |
St. Gilloise
|
25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | +26 | 60 |
| 4 |
Gent
|
25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | +24 | 48 |
| 5 |
Anderlecht
|
31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | +14 | 48 |
| 6 |
Charleroi
|
31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | +2 | 47 |
| 7 |
Club Brugge
|
25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +16 | 45 |
| 8 |
St Truiden
|
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 45 |
| 9 |
Cercle Brugge
|
27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | +8 | 43 |
| 10 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | +5 | 42 |
| 11 |
Westerlo
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | +7 | 39 |
| 12 |
Mechelen
|
31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 |
Kortrijk
|
33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 36 |
| 14 |
Standard
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 |
Eupen
|
32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -24 | 30 |
| 16 |
Waregem
|
33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -28 | 28 |
| 17 |
Oostende
|
32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -30 | 25 |
| 18 | Seraing | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | -32 | 19 |
| 19 |
Seraing United
|
30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | -32 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
St Truiden
Antwerp
Cercle Brugge
Mechelen
Waregem
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.