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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Motherwell
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 30%
21%
38%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

43% Possession 57%
7 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 11. · St Mirren 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 23 1 1 +60 70
2 Rangers 25 19 4 2 +35 61
3 Hearts 25 12 6 7 +10 42
4 Livingston 24 10 5 9 -7 35
5 Hibernian 25 10 4 11 -1 34
6 St Mirren 24 9 6 9 -7 33
7 Aberdeen 25 10 2 13 -8 32
8 ST Johnstone 25 8 3 14 -13 27
9 Kilmarnock 25 6 5 14 -23 23
10 Ross County 25 5 6 14 -18 21
11 Motherwell 24 5 5 14 -11 20
12 Dundee United 24 5 5 14 -17 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Jan -23 St Mirren – Motherwell 1–0 31. Jul -22 St Mirren – Motherwell 0–1 2. Apr -22 Motherwell – St Mirren 4–2 1. Feb -22 St Mirren – Motherwell 1–1 27. Oct -21 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–2

Match report

Motherwell St Mirren
1–0 K. van Veen ⚽
B. Spittal
8′
2–0 M. Johnston ⚽
S. Goss
18′
24′
⚽ R. Strain 2–1
K. Baccus
31′
🔁 T. Small
↦ S. Tanser
Jonathan Obika 🟨
35′
Half-time 2–1
57′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ A. Gogić
62′
🟨 Greg Kiltie
Calum Butcher 🟨
69′
J. Aitchison 🔁
↦ K. van Veen
79′
79′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ R. Strain
79′
🔁 L. Jamieson
↦ T. Watt
C. Slattery 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
84′
86′
🟨 Keanu Baccus
90′
🟨 Declan Gallagher
91′
🟨 Thierry Small
S. O'Donnell 🔁
↦ J. Furlong
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
66 C. Butcher D
52 D. Casey D
22 M. Johnston M
27 S. Goss M
18 D. Cornelius M
24 J. Furlong M
7 B. Spittal F
9 K. van Veen F
99 J. Obika F
Bench (9)
15 J. Aitchison
8 C. Slattery
2 S. O'Donnell
13 A. Oxborough
26 R. Tierney
17 S. McKinstry
12 O. Crankshaw
14 R. Danzaki
34 L. Dunachie

Coach: S. Kettlewell

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 T. Carson G
22 M. Fraser D
31 D. Gallagher D
5 R. Taylor D
23 R. Strain M
17 K. Baccus M
13 A. Gogić M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. Main F
9 T. Watt F
Bench (9)
16 T. Small
11 G. Kiltie
8 R. Flynn
24 L. Jamieson
27 P. Urminský
4 J. Shaughnessy
30 F. Taylor
18 C. Dunne
25 K. Offord

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
🔒
U
3,19
🔒
B
2,88
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,16
🔒
U2,5
1,68
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.