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Premiership
Referee: G Grainger
Hibernian
S S S T T
1–3
Full-time
Motherwell
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
28%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
59%
55%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
59%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Motherwell 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 29 27 1 1 +72 82
2 Rangers 29 23 4 2 +45 73
3 Hearts 29 13 6 10 +6 45
4 Aberdeen 29 13 2 14 -6 41
5 Hibernian 29 12 4 13 -1 40
6 Livingston 29 11 6 12 -13 39
7 St Mirren 29 10 8 11 -11 38
8 ST Johnstone 29 9 5 15 -15 32
9 Motherwell 29 8 6 15 -8 30
10 Kilmarnock 29 6 7 16 -27 25
11 Ross County 29 6 6 17 -18 24
12 Dundee United 29 5 7 17 -24 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Jan -23 Motherwell – Hibernian 2–3 8. Oct -22 Hibernian – Motherwell 1–0 26. Jan -22 Motherwell – Hibernian 0–0 4. Dec -21 Hibernian – Motherwell 1–1 1. Aug -21 Motherwell – Hibernian 2–3

Match report

Hibernian Motherwell
Jake Doyle Hayes 🟨
6′
7′
⚽ S. Goss 0–1
Half-time 0–1
H. McKirdy 🔁
↦ J. Doyle-Hayes
46′
David Marshall 🟨
52′
54′
⚽ K. van Veen 0–2
57′
🔁 H. Paton
↦ B. Spittal
1–2 K. Nisbet ⚽
C. Cadden
62′
M. Kukharevych 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
63′
M. Čabraja 🔁
↦ L. Stevenson
63′
J. Newell 🔁
↦ C. Egan-Riley
63′
66′
🔁 J. Aitchison
↦ M. Mandron
James Jeggo 🟨
80′
E. Henderson 🔁
↦ M. Hoppe
81′
81′
⚽ K. van Veen 1–3
84′
🟨 James Furlong
85′
🔁 S. O'Donnell
↦ J. Furlong
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 D. Marshall G
26 C. Egan-Riley D
25 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
12 C. Cadden M
14 J. Jeggo M
8 J. Doyle-Hayes M
16 L. Stevenson M
32 J. Campbell F
15 K. Nisbet F
13 M. Hoppe F
Bench (9)
22 H. McKirdy
99 M. Kukharevych
3 M. Čabraja
11 J. Newell
18 E. Henderson
31 M. Johnson
2 L. Miller
17 M. Devlin
10 Jair Tavares

Coach: L. Johnson

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
66 C. Butcher D
52 D. Casey D
22 M. Johnston M
27 S. Goss M
18 D. Cornelius M
24 J. Furlong M
7 B. Spittal F
21 M. Mandron F
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
53 H. Paton
15 J. Aitchison
2 S. O'Donnell
20 S. Blaney
17 S. McKinstry
5 B. Mugabi
38 L. Miller
4 R. Lamie
13 A. Oxborough

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,80
🔒
U
3,57
🔒
B ✓
4,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,95
🔒
U2,5
1,83
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Grainger · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.