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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Spal
T T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Ternana
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Ternana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
37%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
47%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 15
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spal 19. · Ternana 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 30 19 5 6 +29 62
2 Genoa 31 17 9 5 +21 60
3 Sudtirol 30 13 12 5 +6 51
4 Bari 30 13 11 6 +17 50
5 Pisa 30 11 12 7 +13 45
6 Cagliari 30 11 12 7 +9 45
7 Reggina 30 13 3 14 +3 42
8 Palermo 30 10 12 8 +1 42
9 Parma 30 11 8 11 +2 41
10 Como 30 9 12 9 -1 39
11 Ternana 30 10 9 11 -7 39
12 Modena 30 11 5 14 -2 38
13 Ascoli 30 9 9 12 -6 36
14 Cittadella 30 8 11 11 -11 35
15 Perugia 29 9 6 14 -2 33
16 Venezia 30 8 9 13 -8 33
17 Cosenza 30 8 8 14 -22 32
18 Benevento 30 6 11 13 -10 29
19 Spal 30 6 10 14 -11 28
20 Brescia 30 6 10 14 -21 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spal Ternana
1–0 G. Moncini
4′
44′
🟨 Francesco Cassata
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Favilli
↦ F. Cassata
G. Tunjov 🔁
↦ F. Maistro
62′
A. Murgia 🔁
↦ I. Fetfatzidis
63′
63′
🔁 M. Proietti
↦ A. Palumbo
63′
🔁 G. Capanni
↦ M. Coulibaly
Radja Nainggolan 🟨
67′
P. Peda 🔁
↦ N. Contiliano
68′
A. La Mantia 🔁
↦ R. Nainggolan
68′
72′
🟨 Francesco Di Tacchio
73′
🔁 A. Donnarumma
↦ C. Falletti
Matteo Prati 🟨
74′
Georgi Tunjov 🟨
75′
84′
A. Favilli 1–1
A. Partipilo
N. Zanellato 🔁
↦ C. Dalle Mura
88′
90′
🔁 B. Martella
↦ N. Corrado
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Spal

4-3-2-1
1 E. Alfonso G
24 L. Dickmann D
6 B. Meccariello D
4 C. Dalle Mura D
21 R. Celia D
5 N. Contiliano M
20 M. Prati M
37 F. Maistro M
11 I. Fetfatzidis M
44 R. Nainggolan M
9 G. Moncini F
Bench (12)
40 G. Tunjov
23 A. Murgia
27 P. Peda
19 A. La Mantia
10 N. Zanellato
49 G. Rossi
32 N. Rauti
3 A. Tripaldelli
2 A. Fiordaliso
29 A. Almici
99 S. Rabbi
17 A. Pomini

Coach: M. Oddo

Ternana

3-5-1-1
1 A. Iannarilli G
23 S. Diakité D
4 F. Sørensen D
13 V. Mantovani D
29 F. Cassata M
2 M. Coulibaly M
14 F. Di Tacchio M
5 A. Palumbo M
91 N. Corrado M
10 C. Falletti F
21 A. Partipilo F
Bench (12)
17 A. Favilli
8 M. Proietti
7 G. Capanni
9 A. Donnarumma
87 B. Martella
26 L. Bogdan
33 T. Vitali
20 F. Paghera
19 M. Capuano
34 D. Agazzi
6 F. Mazzarani
12 T. Krapikas

Coach: C. Lucarelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U ✓
3,16
B
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.