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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Hibernian
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 14/16 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
57%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 6. · Motherwell 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 15 11 3 1 +19 36
2 Celtic 15 10 2 3 +23 32
3 Hearts 16 7 6 3 +10 27
4 Dundee United 16 7 4 5 +0 25
5 Motherwell 16 7 3 6 -4 24
6 Hibernian 14 5 3 6 -1 18
7 Aberdeen 16 5 3 8 -3 18
8 St Mirren 16 3 8 5 -8 17
9 Dundee 15 4 4 7 -12 16
10 ST Johnstone 15 3 5 7 -6 14
11 Livingston 15 3 4 8 -10 13
12 Ross County 15 2 5 8 -8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Aug -21 Motherwell – Hibernian 2–3 27. Feb -21 Hibernian – Motherwell 0–2 5. Dec -20 Motherwell – Hibernian 0–3 15. Aug -20 Hibernian – Motherwell 0–0 25. Jan -20 Motherwell – Hibernian 0–0

Match report

Hibernian Motherwell
1–0 K. Nisbet ⚽
J. Campbell
33′
42′
🟨 Callum Slattery
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 J. Roberts
↦ K. Woolery
60′
⚽ T. Watt 1–1
Joe Newell 🟨
64′
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ C. Cadden
69′
69′
🔁 J. Carroll
↦ R. Lamie
C. Doidge 🔁
↦ J. Doyle-Hayes
73′
Josh Campbell 🟨
74′
75′
🟨 Kevin van Veen
80′
🔁 C. Shields
↦ K. van Veen
S. Allan 🔁
↦ J. Newell
83′
92′
🟨 Sean Goss
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 M. Macey G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
27 C. Cadden M
5 R. Porteous D
3 J. Doig M
10 M. Boyle F
11 J. Newell M
22 J. Doyle-Hayes M
32 J. Campbell F
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (7)
18 J. Murphy
9 C. Doidge
23 S. Allan
24 D. McGregor
16 L. Stevenson
21 M. Dąbrowski
13 A. Gogić

Coach: J. Ross

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
2 S. O'Donnell D
4 R. Lamie D
19 N. McGinley D
5 B. Mugabi D
27 S. Goss M
16 C. Slattery M
18 D. Cornelius M
32 T. Watt F
9 K. van Veen F
7 K. Woolery F
Bench (7)
28 J. Roberts
3 J. Carroll
29 C. Shields
12 S. Fox
22 L. Donnelly
20 R. Crawford
23 L. Grimshaw

Coach: G. Alexander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
🔒
U ✓
3,65
🔒
B
4,30
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,93
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,86
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.